AVA/XUSDT – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED
54 minutes ago
63.8 %
↑ +8.6 zur Vorkerze
VERY STRONG
Scalping
▲ Bullish 12 % (2.52)
▼ Bearish 88 % (18.98)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 88.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
all 8 timeframes.
Target hit 7.9 %
vs 37.4 % average ·
stopped out 52.5 %
vs 21.3 %
(Crypto, 1,216 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(26 Sep 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.45 |
| ▲ | RSI OB Exit | indicator | 2.26 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | ZSCORE Extreme High Exit | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.06 |
| ▼ | ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat | indicator | 0.82 |
| ▼ | KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat | indicator | 0.78 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPSolid trend
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple oscillators (RSI, Stochastic, Williams %R, KDJ) are exiting overbought, signaling a short-term pullback.
- The broader trend is bullish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend dip, not a reversal.
- Watch the 10.20100 support; a break below it would invalidate the bearish signal.
- Resistance at 11.29700 is the immediate upside target if the pullback fails.
The 30-minute chart for AVA/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with eight indicators aligning to a SELL direction. The BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and the upper retreats of both the ACCBANDS and KELTNER bands all point to a loss of upward momentum and a potential short-term pullback. This is a classic overbought exhaustion scenario, where multiple oscillators are exiting their overbought zones simultaneously, suggesting that the recent rally has stretched too far.
However, the broader trend context is firmly bullish. All timeframes from 15 minutes up to the daily show bullish trends, with the 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes registering solid trend scores of 3/5. The 30-minute signal, therefore, is likely a counter-trend pullback within a larger uptrend. The nearest resistance sits at 11.29700, while the nearest support is at 10.20100. A break below support would invalidate the bearish signal, whereas a failure to break below could see the pullback stall and the uptrend resume.
However, the broader trend context is firmly bullish. All timeframes from 15 minutes up to the daily show bullish trends, with the 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes registering solid trend scores of 3/5. The 30-minute signal, therefore, is likely a counter-trend pullback within a larger uptrend. The nearest resistance sits at 11.29700, while the nearest support is at 10.20100. A break below support would invalidate the bearish signal, whereas a failure to break below could see the pullback stall and the uptrend resume.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of eight bearish signals on the 30-minute chart, including BOP, RSI, Stochastic, and Williams %R.
- ▼ Upper band retreats on both ACCBANDS and KELTNER indicate price pulling back from overbought extremes.
- ▼ The signal's probability is 67%, with moderate strength, suggesting a meaningful short-term move.
- ▼ The pullback is occurring within a solid bullish trend, which often attracts dip-buyers, but the immediate momentum is down.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The bullish trend across all higher timeframes (4H to 1D) could overwhelm the 30-minute bearish signal, leading to a shallow pullback.
- ▲ If price fails to break below the nearest support at 10.20100, the bearish signal may fade and the uptrend could resume.
- ▲ The trend scores on lower timeframes are only 2/5, indicating the pullback might be part of a consolidation rather than a strong move.
- ▲ A break above the 11.29700 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a continuation of the uptrend.
Symbol
AVA/XUSDT
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
88%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-26 02:30
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 11.29700 | 2026-09-23 |
| R2 | 11.40000 | 2026-09-23 |
| S1 | 10.20100 | 2026-09-25 |
| S2 | 10.08200 | 2026-09-25 |
| S3 | 9.96600 | 2026-09-24 |