BNB/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-09-26 12:00 UTC 1 day ago

38.0 % ↓ −19.9 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 28 % (8.42) ▼ Bearish 72 % (21.83)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.8% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 9.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 8 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.9 % vs 36.7 % average · stopped out 42.1 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 732 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Rising Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.45
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.49
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	TRIMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.57
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.21

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

4H bearish signal is backed by a dense cluster of indicators and a Rising Wedge breakdown.
Higher timeframes (8H-1D) remain bullish, creating a counter-trend setup.
Key levels: support at 756.83, resistance at 807.49.
Watch for a break below 756.83 to confirm bearish momentum; a reclaim of the trendline invalidates.

The 4H chart for BNB/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down, a Rising Wedge pattern, and a series of momentum and trend-following crossovers (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, EMA Retreat, MAMA PRICE Retreat). This confluence indicates that the recent uptrend has lost its internal strength and that sellers are gaining control on the 4H timeframe. The breadth of signals—spanning trendline, indicator, and chart pattern groups—suggests a high-probability shift in short-term bias.

However, the higher timeframes remain bullish, with the 8H, 12H, and 1D trends all showing bullish alignment (trend scores of 2/5 to 3/5). This creates a conflict: the 4H bearish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 756.83000, which could act as a pivot for a bounce. If that level breaks, the bearish case strengthens. Conversely, a reclaim of the broken trendline or resistance at 807.49000 would invalidate the signal. Given the strong probability and signal density, traders should watch for follow-through on the downside but remain cautious of the higher-timeframe bullish bias.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of multiple indicator crossovers (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) all pointing down.
▼ Trendline break and Rising Wedge pattern add chart-pattern confirmation.
▼ High signal probability (95%) and very strong strength suggest robust bearish pressure on the 4H timeframe.
▼ EMA Retreat and MAMA PRICE Retreat indicate trend exhaustion.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends (8H-1D) are bullish, which could limit downside or cause a bounce.
▲ The 4H signal is counter-trend; a bullish reversal on higher timeframes could invalidate the setup.
▲ Nearby support at 756.83 may attract buyers and stall the decline.
▲ If price reclaims the broken trendline or resistance at 807.49, the bearish signal is negated.