DOT/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-26 18:00 UTC 57 minutes ago

54.9 % – erste Kerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +8% Intraday

▲ Bullish 36 % (9.17) ▼ Bearish 64 % (16.27)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

48.7% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 63.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.4 % vs 37.1 % average · stopped out 52.3 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 1,307 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.67
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.39
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	2.18
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.02
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.93
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.91
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.57
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	Three Outside Down	candlestick	1.17
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	0.98
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.89
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.88

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish 1H signal suggests a short-term pullback, but the overall trend is bullish across all timeframes.
Signal strength is weak (63% probability), indicating limited conviction for a sustained move lower.
Key support at 1.13100 is the invalidation level for the bullish trend; resistance at 1.25500 caps upside.
Expect potential consolidation or a dip toward support before the bullish trend resumes.

The DOT/USDT 1H signal fires a cluster of bearish exit signals — CCI, STOCH, and RSX all exiting overbought territory, BBANDS upper retreat, T3 break down, KDJ cross down, and a bearish ERI zero cross — suggesting a short-term pullback within the prevailing bullish structure. However, the trend across all timeframes from 15m to 1D is bullish, with solid trend scores (3/5) on most, and the 4H is forming a bullish trend (2/5). This creates a conflict: the signal is a counter-trend sell against a strongly aligned bullish multi-timeframe trend, which is why the probability is only 63% and strength is weak.

Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 1.25500 and nearest support at 1.13100. A pullback toward support would be consistent with the bearish signal, but a break below 1.13100 would invalidate the bullish trend and could signal a deeper correction. Conversely, a reclaim of the upper Bollinger Band and a push toward resistance would negate the bearish signal. Given the weak strength and counter-trend nature, traders should treat this as a potential short-term dip rather than a trend reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH, RSX) and a KDJ cross down indicate momentum exhaustion on the 1H.
▼ T3 break down and ERI bearish zero cross add confluence for a short-term bearish move.
▼ Nearest support at 1.13100 provides a clear target and potential bounce zone.

Risk Factors

▲ Strong bullish alignment across all timeframes (15m to 1D) could overpower the weak bearish signal.
▲ If price holds above the upper Bollinger Band and breaks resistance at 1.25500, the bearish setup fails.
▲ A break below 1.13100 would invalidate the bullish trend and could lead to a deeper correction.
▲ Low signal strength (63%) and weak probability reduce confidence in the trade.