ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
49.6 % ↑ +11.7 zur Vorkerze
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 36 % (9.02) ▼ Bearish 64 % (15.82)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 43.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
ETH/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 43%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Sep 2026, 00:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 2.23
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.05
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.84
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.80
▲ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.76
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.59
▲ MAMA Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ COPPOCK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.45
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.28
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.23
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.23
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 1.03
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 0.90
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.81

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signals dominate the 30M timeframe, but the overall trend is choppy and mixed across timeframes.
  • Immediate downside targets hinge on breaking support at 2679.30; resistance at 2696.00 is the key invalidation level.
  • Higher timeframes (8H+) remain bullish, so this is likely a pullback within an uptrend, not a reversal.
  • The Golden Cross on SMA 20/50 is a bullish counter-signal, adding uncertainty to the bearish case.
The 30-minute ETH/USDT signal is firmly bearish, with a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators aligning to the downside: BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, and STOCH KD Cross Down all confirm selling pressure. The retreat from the upper Bollinger Band and the MAMA Cross Up (which here acts as a bearish crossover) add to the picture. However, the SMA 20/50 Golden Cross is a bullish signal, creating a mixed backdrop that tempers conviction. The overall trend across timeframes is choppy and sideways, with bearish alignment from 30M up to 4H, but higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, suggesting this is a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to watch are immediate: resistance at 2696.00 and support at 2679.30. A break below support would open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would negate the bearish setup. Given the weak strength and conflicting higher timeframe trends, traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity with tight risk management. The signal's probability is moderate, and the choppy nature of the market increases the risk of false moves.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, DI, DM, STOCH) all point to bearish momentum on the 30M chart.
  • ▼ The retreat from the upper Bollinger Band suggests a pullback from overbought conditions.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment across 30M to 4H timeframes supports the short-term downside move.
  • ▼ The signal is reinforced by candlestick patterns, adding confluence.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The Golden Cross (SMA 20/50) is a bullish signal that could counteract the bearish momentum.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which may limit the downside and lead to a reversal.
  • ▲ Trend strength is weak (1/5) across most timeframes, increasing the chance of a choppy, sideways move.
  • ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 2696.00, the bearish setup is invalidated.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 43%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-27 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,696.00000 2026-09-26
R2 2,697.79000 2026-09-26
R3 2,743.00000 2026-09-25
S1 2,679.30000 2026-09-26
S2 2,677.16000 2026-09-25
S3 2,668.84000 2026-09-25

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