AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED

2026-09-28 18:00 UTC 20 hours ago

61.0 % ↑ +21.5 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday

▲ Bullish 5 % (2.76) ▼ Bearish 95 % (50.81)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 94.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 11 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.42
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.90
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.87

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on AUD/JPY 2H with multiple indicators and a candlestick pattern.
Bearish trend is solid across most timeframes (30m to 12h), supporting the sell signal.
Key downside target is support at 110.42400; resistance at 112.30300 is the invalidation zone.
High probability (88%) and very strong strength underscore the conviction behind the signal.

The AUD/JPY 2H chart has fired a confluence of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, TEMA Retreat Down, and an ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout, alongside a Tweezers Top candlestick pattern. The HT SINE Zero Cross Up is a contrarian signal, but the overall weight of evidence points to continued downside. The bearish trend is consistent across the 30m through 12h timeframes, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h charts, reinforcing the selling pressure. The 15m and 1d timeframes are only forming trends, but they do not contradict the dominant bearish bias. The nearest support at 110.42400 is the key downside target, while resistance at 112.30300 marks the level to watch for any reversal.

Traders should view this as a strong bearish setup with high probability (88%) and very strong strength. The alignment across multiple timeframes and the cluster of indicator signals suggest that momentum is firmly to the downside. However, the HT SINE Zero Cross Up and the fact that the 15m is bullish (though forming) introduce a minor counter-trend element. A break below the support at 110.42400 would likely accelerate the decline, while a move back above the resistance at 112.30300 would invalidate the bearish thesis. As always, risk management is essential, and traders should monitor price action at these key levels.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators firing simultaneously (BOP, MAMA, TEMA, ACCBANDS) indicate strong selling momentum.
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick pattern adds a classic reversal signal at a potential resistance area.
▼ Consistent bearish trend scores (3/5) across 1h to 12h timeframes confirm alignment.
▼ The signal occurs at a time when the broader trend is bearish, increasing the likelihood of continuation.

Risk Factors

▲ The HT SINE Zero Cross Up is a bullish signal that could indicate a short-term bounce.
▲ The 15m timeframe shows a bullish trend forming, which may lead to a pullback before further downside.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 112.30300, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the price approaches the support level, leading to consolidation or reversal.