AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
2 hours ago
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 zur Vorkerze
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday
▲ Bullish 6 % (4.56) ▼ Bearish 94 % (68.00)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
57.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 5.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1h 6%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.60
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.40
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.48
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.15
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.86

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: trendline break, bearish engulfing, and multiple momentum indicators align lower.
  • All timeframes show bearish bias, with solid trends on 15m-1h and 8h, supporting the sell signal.
  • Watch resistance at 0.71398; a break above it would weaken the bearish case.
  • No defined support nearby, so downside may be open, but manage risk with invalidation levels.
The AUD/USD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Bearish Engulfing candlestick, with supporting momentum shifts from BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, and MAMA PRICE Retreat Down. The lone KDJ Cross Up appears as a minor counter-signal within an otherwise strongly bearish setup, likely representing a short-term pullback rather than a reversal. Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish, with solid trend scores on the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 8h charts, while higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 12h, 1d) are still forming bearish trends, suggesting the move is still developing and may have room to extend.

With nearest resistance at 0.71398, any bounce toward that level could attract sellers. The absence of a defined nearest support means the downside is open, but traders should watch for potential support zones from prior structure or round numbers. The confluence of trendline, candlestick, and indicator signals at the 1H timeframe, combined with bearish alignment across multiple timeframes, strengthens the bearish case. However, the KDJ Cross Up and the still-forming higher timeframe trends warrant caution, as a failure to break below recent lows could signal a false breakdown.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trendline Break Down and Bearish Engulfing provide strong technical confluence.
  • ▼ BOP, STOCH KD, DEMA, and MAMA all confirm bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid scores on key intraday charts.
  • ▼ The 1H signal has very strong probability (94%) and strength.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ KDJ Cross Up is a bullish divergence signal that could indicate a short-term bounce.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 12h, 1d) are only 'trend forming', so the bearish trend is not fully mature.
  • ▲ Resistance at 0.71398 is nearby; a break above it would invalidate the breakdown.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if price stalls without new lows, leading to a consolidation.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 6%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-28 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.71398 2026-09-21
R2 0.71486 2026-09-14

Tags

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