AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED

2026-09-28 03:00 UTC 7 hours ago

61.0 % ↑ +25.7 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 95 % (24.75) ▼ Bearish 5 % (1.30)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 95.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 16 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 5.4 % vs 18.3 % average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 204 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 00:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	2.18
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.92
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.89
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.85
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.58
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.53
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.34
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.10
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
The nearest resistance at 0.71288 is the key upside target and potential reversal zone.
All timeframes are bearish, so this is a counter-trend opportunity with limited upside potential.
Watch for a break above 0.71288 to invalidate the bearish outlook.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a strong ADXR trend reading, a BOP zero cross up, stochastic oversold exit with a bullish cross, and multiple retreat-up patterns (T3, HMA). The Ichimoku TK cross down and HT Phasor inphase cross down, while normally bearish, may be confirming a short-term corrective bounce within the broader downtrend. The confluence of these signals suggests a potential upward move in the near term, targeting the nearest resistance at 0.71288.

However, the higher timeframe trend remains firmly bearish across all frames, from 15-minute to daily, with the strongest bearish momentum on the 15-minute and 30-minute charts. This means any upside is likely a counter-trend rally rather than a reversal. Traders should watch for the price to approach 0.71288, where selling pressure could resume. A break above this level would invalidate the bearish bias and could signal a larger correction.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals on the 30-minute chart, including stochastic and trend strength indicators.
▲ Retreat-up patterns (T3, HMA) indicate a short-term pullback in the downtrend.
▲ The strong ADXR reading suggests the current move has momentum, which could support a bounce.
▲ The nearest resistance is clearly defined, providing a target for the move.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframe trend is strongly bearish, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish signal.
▼ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are also bearish, so the bounce may be short-lived.
▼ If the price fails to hold above the recent lows, the bullish signal could be invalidated.
▼ The Ichimoku TK cross down and HT Phasor signals are bearish, adding conflicting signals.