AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED

2026-09-28 04:30 UTC 6 hours ago

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +29% Scalping

▲ Bullish 16 % (8.10) ▼ Bearish 84 % (41.90)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 5.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 13 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.04
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.20
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.13
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

AUD/USD is in a clear downtrend across multiple timeframes, with the 30-minute signal adding to the bearish case.
Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, DEMA, KAMA, MAMA) and candlestick patterns (Northern Doji, Hanging Man, Tweezers Top) align to suggest continued downside.
The nearest resistance at 0.71398 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish signal.
With no nearby support, the downside may be open, but traders should remain cautious and monitor for any reversal signs.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a robust bearish signal, combining multiple indicator and candlestick patterns. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Down confirms short-term momentum shifting lower. The DEMA, KAMA, and MAMA PRICE Retreat Downs all point to a pullback in price against the prevailing downtrend. The appearance of a Northern Doji, Hanging Man, and Tweezers Top near the recent high suggests a potential reversal or continuation lower, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with the 15-minute and 30-minute charts showing strong to solid downtrends, and higher timeframes (1H to 1D) all aligning in the same direction, though with weaker trend strength. This alignment supports the validity of the signal. The nearest resistance is at 0.71398, which is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. There is no defined support below, so the downside could be open, but traders should monitor for any signs of reversal or momentum loss.

Catalysts

▼ All timeframes from 15 minutes to daily are bearish, providing strong confluence.
▼ The combination of multiple indicator signals and bearish candlestick patterns strengthens the bearish case.
▼ The trend is very strong on the 15-minute and solid on the 30-minute and 1-hour charts, indicating active selling pressure.
▼ The price is below the nearest resistance, and the signal is firing near recent highs, suggesting a potential rejection.

Risk Factors

▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.71398 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The trend strength weakens on higher timeframes (2H to 1D), which could limit the downside potential.
▲ Momentum indicators like STOCHF may be overextended, leading to a potential bounce or consolidation.
▲ The presence of a Northern Doji and Hanging Man could indicate indecision, and if the price holds above the recent low, the bearish move may stall.