EUR/AUD – 8H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-09-28 08:00 UTC 20 hours ago

46.9 % ↓ −14.1 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (29.56) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 41.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TSI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.96
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▲	MACDFIX Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.47

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals on the 8H chart, but strength is weak.
Trend is bullish on most timeframes, but the daily is bearish and choppy.
Watch the 1.62266 resistance and 1.60802 support for direction.
Confirmation from price action is needed before committing.

The EUR/AUD 8H signal has fired a BUY, driven by a MACDFIX Signal Cross Up and a TSI Signal Cross Up, both indicating bullish momentum. At the same time, the BBANDS Upper Retreat Down and EMA 200 Retreat Down suggest that price is pulling back from overbought conditions and that the long-term trend is cooling, which can set up a healthier entry for a continuation higher. The confluence of these indicators points to a bullish bias on the 8H timeframe, though the weak strength and moderate probability (59%) suggest the move may lack conviction.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish from 30m up to 12H, with all these timeframes showing a forming bullish trend (2/5 strength). The 15m and 1D are bearish, with the 1D choppy/sideways, which adds a note of caution. The nearest resistance is at 1.62266, and the nearest support at 1.60802. A break above resistance would confirm bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal. Given the weak strength, traders should watch for confirmation and manage risk tightly.

Catalysts

▲ MACDFIX and TSI both show bullish crosses, aligning with momentum.
▲ BBANDS Upper Retreat Down may relieve overbought conditions, allowing a push higher.
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Down suggests the long-term trend is not overextended.
▲ Multiple timeframes (30m to 12H) are bullish, supporting the 8H signal.

Risk Factors