EUR/GBP – 4H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-09-28 12:00 UTC 20 hours ago

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 94 % (27.20) ▼ Bearish 6 % (1.74)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

47.0% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 6 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 211 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	2.06
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.02
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.71
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.43
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.40
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.34
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.34
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.19
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.13
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.13
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.13
▼	Below The Stomach	candlestick	1.08
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals fired on the 4H, including BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero cross ups, plus a WILLR oversold exit.
EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreats suggest price is pulling back to dynamic support, potentially offering a bounce zone.
Trend is mixed: lower timeframes bearish, higher timeframes bullish, 4H sideways—so confirmation is needed.
Watch key levels: support at 0.85498 and resistance at 0.86065.

The EUR/GBP 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, and ROCR Cross Up, alongside a WILLR exit from oversold territory. These readings suggest that buying pressure is building and downside momentum is waning. The EMA 200 Retreat Up and SMA 200 Retreat Up indicate that price is pulling back toward these moving averages, which could act as dynamic support if the bullish momentum persists. The confluence of Fibonacci, candlestick, and indicator signals adds weight to the bullish case, with the nearest support at 0.85498 serving as a key level to hold.

However, the trend alignment across timeframes is mixed. Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bearish, while higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, and the 4H itself is choppy/sideways. This divergence suggests the signal may be catching an early reversal within a larger bullish structure, but it also introduces risk of false signals. The nearest resistance at 0.86065 is the immediate upside target; a break above would strengthen the bullish case, while a loss of support at 0.85498 would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing zero upward indicates strengthening bullish momentum.
▲ WILLR exit from oversold suggests selling pressure is exhausting.
▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, providing a potential backdrop for a reversal.
▲ Confluence of Fibonacci, candlestick, and indicator signals increases the probability of a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframes (15m to 1H) are bearish, which could pull price lower before any reversal.
▼ The 4H trend is choppy/sideways, reducing the reliability of directional signals.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.85498 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Resistance at 0.86065 is nearby and could cap upside if momentum fades.