EUR/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-09-28 15:00 UTC 59 minutes ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 77 % (13.15) ▼ Bearish 23 % (3.90)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.8% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 77.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 5.4 % vs 18.3 % average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 204 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.93
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	ZLMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.69
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.54
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.53
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.38
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.31
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.01
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum signals on the 1H chart suggest a possible short-term bounce.
The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal.
Key resistance at 180.798 and support at 178.467 define the trading range.
Watch for a break above resistance to confirm bullish strength, or a drop below support to invalidate.

The EUR/JPY 1H signal is a strong BUY, backed by a 77% probability and a cluster of momentum and trend indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Up and KDJ Cross Up suggest buying pressure is emerging, while the CCI OS Exit indicates that the oversold condition is reversing. The HMA Retreat Up and HMA Direction Up confirm that the short-term trend is turning higher, and the HT PHASOR and HT SINE cross downs are consistent with a cyclical bottom. This confluence of signals points to a potential upward correction within the broader bearish structure.

However, the larger timeframes are predominantly bearish, with all timeframes from 15m to 1D showing a bearish trend. The 1H and 2H trends are only 'trend forming', so the bullish signal is counter-trend. The nearest resistance at 180.798 is a critical level; a break above it could signal a stronger reversal, while failure to hold above support at 178.467 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should watch for price action at these levels and monitor whether the higher-timeframe bearish trend resumes.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, KDJ) are aligning to signal a shift from bearish to bullish.
▲ HMA retreat and direction up confirm a short-term trend reversal.
▲ The signal has a high probability (77%) and strong strength, indicating robust confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ All higher timeframes are bearish, and the 1H/2H trends are only 'trend forming', so the bullish move may be a retracement.
▼ If price fails to break above the nearest resistance (180.798), the bullish momentum could fade.
▼ A drop below the nearest support (178.467) would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ Momentum may be fading as the HT PHASOR and HT SINE crosses down suggest a cyclical peak might be near.