EUR/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED

2026-09-28 14:00 UTC 20 hours ago

35.3 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +17% Intraday

▲ Bullish 97 % (31.63) ▼ Bearish 3 % (1.08)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 5.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 11 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 6.4 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 13.7 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 233 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	2.00
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	1.93
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.29
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.20
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 2H chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the larger trend is still down.
Watch the 181.545 resistance; a break above could open room for further upside.
Support at 178.467 is the key invalidation level for this bullish setup.
Given the bearish alignment across higher timeframes, treat this as a counter-trend trade with caution.

The EUR/JPY 2H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a STOCHF KD Cross Up, a KST Zero Cross Down, an HMA Retreat Up, a ZLMA Break Up, a KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat, and a Bullish Spinning Top. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent bearish momentum is losing steam and a short-term bounce could be developing. The candlestick pattern adds a visual confirmation of indecision turning bullish, while the moving-average-based signals hint at a potential shift in the prevailing trend.

However, the broader context remains firmly bearish across all timeframes, with the 30m, 1h, 8h, 12h, and 1d charts all showing solid downtrends. This means the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend move within a larger bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 181.545 is a key level to watch; a break above it could signal a more meaningful reversal, while the nearest support at 178.467 remains the critical downside reference. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a dominant downtrend, with tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators (STOCHF, KST, HMA, ZLMA, Keltner) align on the 2H chart.
▲ Bullish Spinning Top candlestick pattern adds a visual confirmation of potential reversal.
▲ The signals are firing at a time when the pair is near support, providing a logical entry zone.
▲ Strong signal strength (84% probability) suggests a high conviction setup.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes are bearish, so the bullish signal is counter-trend and may be short-lived.
▼ A break below the 178.467 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ Momentum could fade quickly if the pair fails to clear the 181.545 resistance.
▼ The KST Zero Cross Down is a bearish signal, which may conflict with the overall bullish bias.