EUR/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED
20 hours ago
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.98 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.92 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence on the 2H chart with both indicator and candlestick signals.
- Majority of timeframes align bearish, supporting the short bias.
- Watch for a break below 178.467 support to confirm further downside.
- Resistance at 180.798 is the key invalidation level for the bearish setup.
The EUR/JPY 2H chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, retreats in DEMA, EMA, and MIDPRICE, and the candlestick patterns Bearish Harami and Tweezers Top. This confluence of momentum and price action indicators points to strong selling pressure at current levels. The alignment across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with solid trends on the 30m, 8h, 12h, and 1d charts, while the 15m shows a choppy bullish bias that could offer temporary bounces but is unlikely to reverse the broader downtrend.
Key levels to monitor are resistance at 180.798 and support at 178.467. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The bearish signals are reinforced by the consistent trend scores across multiple timeframes, making this a high-probability short opportunity. However, the 15m bullish choppiness and the proximity to resistance warrant caution, as a bounce could occur before further downside.
Key levels to monitor are resistance at 180.798 and support at 178.467. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The bearish signals are reinforced by the consistent trend scores across multiple timeframes, making this a high-probability short opportunity. However, the 15m bullish choppiness and the proximity to resistance warrant caution, as a bounce could occur before further downside.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple indicator retreats (DEMA, EMA, MIDPRICE) confirm downward momentum.
- ▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami, Tweezers Top) signal seller control.
- ▼ Trend alignment across 30m, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes strengthens the bearish case.
- ▼ BOP zero cross down indicates deteriorating buying pressure.
Risk Factors
- ▲ 15m bullish choppiness could trigger a short-term bounce against the trend.
- ▲ A break above 180.798 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
- ▲ Momentum may fade if price stalls near support without a clean break.
- ▲ Conflicting higher timeframe signals (if any) could slow the move.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
88%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-09-28 18:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 180.79800 | 2026-09-21 |
| R2 | 181.54500 | 2026-09-18 |
| R3 | 181.95300 | 2026-09-04 |
| S1 | 178.46700 | 2026-09-17 |
| S2 | 177.81800 | 2026-09-14 |