EUR/USD – 2H – BUY
BUY 5× UPDATED
20 hours ago
35.3 %
↓ −25.7 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
Intraday
▲ Bullish 100 % (8.90)
▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 10.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 11 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
7 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 8.4 %
vs 17.9 % average ·
stopped out 12.6 %
vs 11.1 %
(Forex, 143 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(28 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 5× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | AO Saucer Bullish | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▲ | T3 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▲ | HMA Direction Up | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▲ | Inverted Hammer | candlestick | 1.02 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.96 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bullish signals on 2H suggest a potential short-term bounce in EUR/USD.
- Higher timeframes (1H to 8H) remain bearish, so this may be a counter-trend move.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 1.14952; a break above could confirm a stronger reversal.
- No clear support level is defined, so risk management is crucial.
The 2H EUR/USD chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, T3 Retreat Up, AO Saucer Bullish, HMA Direction Up, and a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern, reinforced by an Inverted Hammer. This confluence of momentum and candlestick indicators suggests that buying pressure is emerging, potentially marking a short-term bottom. However, the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H) remain in solid bearish trends, with the 8H showing a very strong bearish trend. The 15m is the only timeframe turning bullish, which indicates that this may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal.
Given the bearish alignment on higher timeframes, the bullish signals on 2H should be treated with caution. The nearest resistance at 1.14952 is a critical level; a break above this could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold the current lows would invalidate the bullish case. The absence of a defined support level adds uncertainty, making risk management essential. Traders should watch for confirmation from higher timeframes before committing to a long position.
Given the bearish alignment on higher timeframes, the bullish signals on 2H should be treated with caution. The nearest resistance at 1.14952 is a critical level; a break above this could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold the current lows would invalidate the bullish case. The absence of a defined support level adds uncertainty, making risk management essential. Traders should watch for confirmation from higher timeframes before committing to a long position.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI, T3, AO, HMA) on the 2H chart.
- ▲ Bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Engulfing, Inverted Hammer) indicate buying interest.
- ▲ The 15m timeframe is turning bullish, showing early momentum shift.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H) are in solid bearish trends, which could overpower the 2H bullish signals.
- ▼ The 8H trend is very strong bearish, suggesting the broader downtrend is intact.
- ▼ If price fails to break above 1.14952, the bullish momentum could fade and the downtrend resume.
- ▼ The lack of a defined support level increases the risk of a sharp drop if the bounce fails.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
10%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-28 18:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.14952 | 2026-09-21 |
| R2 | 1.15561 | 2026-09-16 |
| R3 | 1.16538 | 2026-09-09 |