GBP/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED
18 hours ago
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.04 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▼ | ADXR Trend Weak | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▲ | AO Saucer Bullish | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.15 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.90 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish momentum on 1H with multiple indicators aligned.
- Short-term timeframes (15m-4h) are bearish, but 8H/12H are bullish, indicating a pullback in a larger uptrend.
- Key levels: resistance at 211.273, support at 207.864.
- Watch for a break of resistance to invalidate or support to confirm.
The 1H GBP/JPY signal is strongly bearish, with a 93% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad set of indicator signals including DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE retreats downward, plus a BOP Zero Cross Down. This convergence indicates a clear bearish momentum shift on the 1H timeframe, aligning with the short-term trend across 15m, 30m, 2h, and 4h, all showing bearish trends. However, the 8H and 12H timeframes remain bullish, suggesting this is a pullback within a larger uptrend, and the 1D is bearish, adding complexity. The nearest resistance at 211.273 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support at 207.864 is the immediate downside target, and a break below could accelerate selling.
The bearish signals are supported by the alignment of multiple moving average retreats and the BOP zero cross, which together indicate selling pressure. The trend scores, while mostly 'forming' (2/5), show consistency across lower timeframes, reinforcing the short-term bearish momentum. However, the conflicting higher timeframe trends (8H and 12H bullish) pose a risk: if the pullback fails to break support, the larger uptrend could resume. Traders should watch the 1H close relative to the resistance and support levels. A close above resistance would negate the signal, while a sustained break below support would confirm the bearish move. Momentum fading, as seen in a flattening of the moving averages, would also argue against the trade.
The bearish signals are supported by the alignment of multiple moving average retreats and the BOP zero cross, which together indicate selling pressure. The trend scores, while mostly 'forming' (2/5), show consistency across lower timeframes, reinforcing the short-term bearish momentum. However, the conflicting higher timeframe trends (8H and 12H bullish) pose a risk: if the pullback fails to break support, the larger uptrend could resume. Traders should watch the 1H close relative to the resistance and support levels. A close above resistance would negate the signal, while a sustained break below support would confirm the bearish move. Momentum fading, as seen in a flattening of the moving averages, would also argue against the trade.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) all pointing down.
- ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trends across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h.
- ▼ High signal probability (93%) and very strong strength.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are bullish, which could limit downside or reverse the move.
- ▲ Resistance at 211.273 is nearby; a break above would invalidate the bearish signal.
- ▲ Trend scores are mostly 'forming' (2/5), suggesting the trend is not fully established.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the moving averages flatten or the BOP crosses back above zero.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
94%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-28 05:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 211.27300 | 2026-09-18 |
| S1 | 207.86400 | 2026-09-17 |
| S2 | 207.29500 | 2026-09-11 |
| S3 | 207.08700 | 2026-09-08 |