GBP/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED
18 hours ago
GBP/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 10 × 1h 94%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.24
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.15
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ ADXR Trend Weak indicator 1.85
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.79
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.78
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.15
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 0.90

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on 1H with multiple indicators aligned.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m-4h) are bearish, but 8H/12H are bullish, indicating a pullback in a larger uptrend.
  • Key levels: resistance at 211.273, support at 207.864.
  • Watch for a break of resistance to invalidate or support to confirm.
The 1H GBP/JPY signal is strongly bearish, with a 93% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad set of indicator signals including DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE retreats downward, plus a BOP Zero Cross Down. This convergence indicates a clear bearish momentum shift on the 1H timeframe, aligning with the short-term trend across 15m, 30m, 2h, and 4h, all showing bearish trends. However, the 8H and 12H timeframes remain bullish, suggesting this is a pullback within a larger uptrend, and the 1D is bearish, adding complexity. The nearest resistance at 211.273 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support at 207.864 is the immediate downside target, and a break below could accelerate selling.

The bearish signals are supported by the alignment of multiple moving average retreats and the BOP zero cross, which together indicate selling pressure. The trend scores, while mostly 'forming' (2/5), show consistency across lower timeframes, reinforcing the short-term bearish momentum. However, the conflicting higher timeframe trends (8H and 12H bullish) pose a risk: if the pullback fails to break support, the larger uptrend could resume. Traders should watch the 1H close relative to the resistance and support levels. A close above resistance would negate the signal, while a sustained break below support would confirm the bearish move. Momentum fading, as seen in a flattening of the moving averages, would also argue against the trade.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) all pointing down.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trends across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h.
  • ▼ High signal probability (93%) and very strong strength.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are bullish, which could limit downside or reverse the move.
  • ▲ Resistance at 211.273 is nearby; a break above would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ Trend scores are mostly 'forming' (2/5), suggesting the trend is not fully established.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the moving averages flatten or the BOP crosses back above zero.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-28 05:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 211.27300 2026-09-18
S1 207.86400 2026-09-17
S2 207.29500 2026-09-11
S3 207.08700 2026-09-08

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