GBP/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-09-28 04:00 UTC 58 minutes ago

61.0 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 100 % (6.95) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 5.1 % vs 16.7 % average · stopped out 13.3 % vs 9.2 % (Forex, 196 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.41
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.31

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bullish signal on the 2H chart, but it is counter to the prevailing bearish trend across all timeframes.
The confluence of four indicators (STOCHF, HT PHASOR, KDJ, HMA) suggests a strong short-term momentum shift.
Key resistance at 1.35345 is the immediate upside target; a break above could signal a deeper reversal.
No clear support level below, so downside risk is undefined if the bearish trend resumes.

The 2H GBP/USD signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength rating. The confluence of four indicators—STOCHF KD Cross Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, KDJ OS Entry, and HMA Break Up—suggests a powerful short-term momentum shift to the upside. However, this signal is firing against a dominant bearish trend across all timeframes, from 15m to 1d. The bearish trend is particularly strong on the 15m, 30m, and 8h charts, while the daily trend is still forming. This creates a classic conflict: a strong counter-trend signal within a broader downtrend.

Given the bearish alignment, the immediate upside is likely limited. The nearest resistance at 1.35345 is a critical level to watch; a break above it could signal a more sustained reversal. However, if the price fails to hold above this level, the bearish trend is likely to resume. The lack of a defined support level adds to the uncertainty, as there is no clear floor to gauge downside risk. Traders should treat this signal with caution, as it may represent a short-term bounce within a larger downtrend rather than a full reversal.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of four independent indicators all pointing to bullish momentum.
▲ Very high signal probability (100%) and strength rating (very strong) suggest high conviction.
▲ The 2H timeframe is showing a solid trend (3/5), which may support a short-term move higher.
▲ The HMA break up indicates a clear price breakout above a moving average, often a precursor to further gains.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes argues strongly against a sustained upside move.
▼ Resistance at 1.35345 is nearby and could cap the rally, leading to a reversal.
▼ The lack of a support level means there is no clear invalidation point, increasing uncertainty.
▼ If the bullish momentum fades, the bearish trend is likely to resume, potentially leading to a sharp drop.