SOL/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
39.0 % ↓ −28.1 zur Vorkerze
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (45.85)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 15.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.5 % vs 36.3 % average · stopped out 31.3 % vs 21.4 % (Crypto, 805 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
SOL/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 15%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.96
▲ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up indicator 1.86
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.70
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.64
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.62
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.59
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.58
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.31
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.30
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 0.97
▼ Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.90
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 0.71

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
UPVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Momentum and volatility indicators are all turning down on the 30-minute chart, signaling strong short-term bearish pressure.
  • The price is below the 30-minute SMA 200, confirming the bearish bias in the near term.
  • Higher timeframes remain bullish, so this may be a pullback within an uptrend rather than a trend reversal.
  • Watch the support at 115.86; a break below could open the door to further downside, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
The 30-minute SELL signal for SOL/USDT is driven by a broad cluster of momentum and volatility indicators crossing below their midlines, including the BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, and STOCHF KD. This suggests a sharp loss of buying pressure and a shift toward bearish momentum in the near term. The signal is reinforced by the price retreating below the SMA 200 on the 30-minute chart, which often acts as a dynamic support/resistance level, and the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, which can signal a change in the underlying cycle.

The trend structure across timeframes is mixed, which adds complexity. The shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish but trend-forming, while the 1h and 2h are bearish, also trend-forming. The higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are predominantly bullish, with the daily showing a very strong trend. This suggests the selling pressure is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 123.45 and support at 115.86. A break below support could signal a deeper correction, while holding above it may allow the bullish higher timeframe trend to resume.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicators crossing below their midlines (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCHF KD) strengthens the bearish signal.
  • ▼ Price retreating below the SMA 200 on the 30-minute chart adds a technical layer of support turning into resistance.
  • ▼ The signal's high probability (86%) and very strong strength suggest robust momentum behind the move.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment on the 1h and 2h timeframes supports the case for continued short-term downside.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a quick rebound.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 115.86 is nearby; if it holds, the bearish move may stall and reverse.
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are still bullish, indicating that the short-term trend is not fully aligned with the sell signal.
  • ▲ If the price reclaims the SMA 200 and breaks above 123.45, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
Symbol SOL/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 15%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-28 19:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 123.45000 2026-09-27
R2 124.95000 2026-09-27
S1 115.86000 2026-09-25

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