USD/CAD – 2H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED

2026-09-28 02:00 UTC 18 hours ago

59.3 % – zur Vorkerze

STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 85 % (16.78) ▼ Bearish 15 % (2.88)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.6% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 85.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 10 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZLMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.33
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.67
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.88
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	0.60

Trend Context

15M

UPExtremely strong trend

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence: multiple indicators and a candlestick pattern align.
Trend is bullish across all timeframes, with strongest momentum on lower timeframes.
Key support at 1.37655 is the level to watch; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
Upside targets are undefined as nearest resistance is N/A; manage risk accordingly.

The USD/CAD 2H signal is strongly bullish, with a 94% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of multiple indicators — STOCH KD Cross Up, RSX OB Entry, HMA Retreat Up, ZLMA Retreat Up — and a bullish Spinning Top candlestick pattern points to continued upward momentum. The trend is bullish across all timeframes from 15m to 1d, with the strongest readings on the 15m and 30m (5/5 and 4/5), supporting the immediate bullish bias. The 4H timeframe also shows a very strong trend, adding conviction. Key support is at 1.37655, which should hold for the bullish scenario to remain valid; a break below would signal weakness.

Traders should watch for price to respect the support level and continue its ascent. The alignment of timeframes is a powerful bullish signal, but the lack of a defined nearest resistance suggests that upside targets may be less clear, and the 1D trend is still forming (2/5), indicating that the longer-term picture is not yet fully confirmed. Monitoring the 1D trend development and any signs of momentum exhaustion will be crucial.

Catalysts

▲ Bullish alignment across all timeframes, from 15m to 1d.
▲ Multiple indicator signals (STOCH, RSX, HMA, ZLMA) all pointing up.
▲ Bullish Spinning Top candlestick adds confirmation.
▲ Very strong trend scores on 15m and 30m suggest immediate momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ Nearest resistance is N/A, so upside targets are unclear, potentially limiting profit-taking levels.
▼ The 1D trend is only 'forming' (2/5), meaning the longer-term bullish case is not fully established.
▼ If price breaks below support at 1.37655, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
▼ Momentum could fade if the 15m or 30m trend scores weaken.