USD/CHF – 2H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-09-28 18:00 UTC 20 hours ago

35.3 % ↓ −20.4 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +13% Intraday

▲ Bullish 34 % (7.70) ▼ Bearish 66 % (14.97)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 14.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 11 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.4 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 12.6 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 143 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.71
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.58
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	2.37
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.12
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.07
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	0.94
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	0.67

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 2H suggests short-term momentum is turning down, but the higher timeframe trend is still bullish.
The key support to watch is 0.82076; a break below could signal a deeper correction.
This is likely a pullback within an uptrend, not a major reversal, given the strong bullish trends on higher timeframes.
Watch for the bearish momentum to fade if price holds above 0.82076.

The 2H USD/CHF chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO OB Exit, STOCH OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, T3 Retreat Down, AO Saucer Bearish, KDJ Cross Down, and HMA Retreat Down, along with two additional indicators and candlestick patterns. This confluence suggests strong momentum exhaustion at overbought levels, with multiple oscillators turning lower. However, the broader trend across higher timeframes remains bullish, with the 1H showing a very strong uptrend (4/5) and the 30m, 2H, 8H, and 12H all solidly bullish. The 15m is bearish and trend forming, indicating that the sell signal is likely a short-term pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal.

Key support sits at 0.82076, which is the nearest support level. If price holds above this level, the pullback could be shallow and the bullish trend may resume. A break below 0.82076 would open the door for a deeper correction and potentially shift the short-term structure. Resistance is not defined, so the upside remains open if the bullish trend reasserts. Traders should watch for price action around 0.82076 and monitor whether the bearish momentum persists or fades, especially given the conflicting higher timeframe trend.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple oscillators (STOCH, STOCHRSI, CMO) are exiting overbought conditions, indicating momentum exhaustion.
▼ Patterns like AO Saucer Bearish and T3 Retreat Down confirm the bearish reversal attempt.
▼ The 15m trend is already bearish, providing short-term alignment with the sell signal.
▼ The confluence of 10+ signals increases the probability of a short-term downward move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 8H) are bullish, which could overwhelm the bearish pullback and resume the uptrend.
▲ If price holds above 0.82076, the sell signal may fail and price could bounce back up.
▲ The bearish momentum may fade quickly if the 15m trend reverses back to bullish.
▲ No defined resistance means the upside is open if the bullish trend continues, limiting the potential for a sustained decline.