USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-09-28 06:00 UTC 1 hour ago

59.3 % ↑ +19.6 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +7% Scalping

▲ Bullish 89 % (35.77) ▼ Bearish 11 % (4.34)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 89.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.33
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.26
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.25
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▼	STC Level Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.44
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.18
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	1.10

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on the 30-minute chart with multiple indicators and moving averages aligning.
Trend is bullish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes to daily, with solid trends on 15m, 12h, and 1d.
Watch resistance at 158.05200 and support at 156.57500 for breakout or invalidation.
High probability signal (90%) with very strong strength, but always manage risk.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OB Entry, alongside multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and a trendline retreat. This confluence indicates strong buying pressure and a momentum shift to the upside on the intraday timeframe, with the trend now forming across all higher timeframes from 30 minutes up to the daily, all aligned bullish. The 15-minute and daily charts show solid trends, reinforcing the bullish bias.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.05200 and support at 156.57500. A break above resistance could open further upside, while a hold above support would maintain the bullish structure. The alignment across timeframes and the sheer number of signals suggest a high-probability setup, but traders should monitor for any signs of fading momentum or a break below the support level, which would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators firing together (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) indicates strong momentum.
▲ Moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) confirm bullish pullback buying.
▲ Trendline retreat adds technical confluence.
▲ All timeframes aligned bullish, with solid trends on higher timeframes.

Risk Factors

▼ A break below nearest support at 156.57500 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Momentum could fade if the stochastic or Williams %R turns down from overbought levels.
▼ Resistance at 158.05200 may cap upside and trigger a pullback.
▼ Although higher timeframes are bullish, they are only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the trend is not yet fully mature.