AUD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-09-29 01:00 UTC 49 minutes ago

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +1% Scalping

▲ Bullish 87 % (22.08) ▼ Bearish 13 % (3.41)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.3 % average · stopped out 11.9 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 134 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 22:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.76
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	2.75
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.40
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.29
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.98
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.86
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.83
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.56
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.47
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.44
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	1.40
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.79

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on the 30-minute chart, but it is counter to the dominant bearish trend on higher timeframes.
Multiple indicators align for a short-term upward move, with a breakout above 0.99661 as the key confirmation.
The support at 0.99242 is critical; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
Overall market is choppy, so expect potential volatility and false breakouts.

The AUD/CAD signal on the 30-minute chart is strongly bullish, with an 86% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of multiple trend-following and momentum indicators—such as the DEMA Break Up, MA Retreat Up, and SMA 50 Retreat Up—points to a decisive upward move in the short term. The ERI Bull Zero Cross Up and SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down further confirm that buying pressure is overwhelming, likely triggering a breakout from a compression phase. The Fibonacci signal group adds a layer of support, suggesting that price may be aligning with key retracement levels.

Despite the bullish signal on the 30-minute timeframe, the broader trend across higher timeframes remains bearish, with the 15m to 12h all showing bearish momentum, albeit with low trend scores indicating choppy conditions. The daily timeframe is the only one showing bullish bias, but it is also choppy. This divergence suggests that the current buy signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.99661 and support at 0.99242. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple trend-following indicators (DEMA, MA, SMA) all pointing up.
▲ ERI Bull Zero Cross Up and SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down indicate strong bullish momentum.
▲ Fibonacci levels may provide additional support for the move.
▲ Daily timeframe is bullish, offering a longer-term backdrop for the short-term signal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (15m to 12h) are bearish, suggesting the rally could be a pullback within a larger downtrend.
▼ Low trend scores across timeframes indicate choppy, non-trending conditions that can lead to false signals.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.99242 would invalidate the bullish signal.
▼ Resistance at 0.99661 may cap upside if not broken with strong volume.