AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-29 01:00 UTC 49 minutes ago

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 8 % (1.96) ▼ Bearish 92 % (23.12)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 92.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 22:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.26
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.83
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	0.90
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.67

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30-minute chart, with multiple indicators aligning lower.
Downtrend is consistent across all timeframes, from 15 minutes to daily, supporting the sell signal.
Watch the nearest support at 109.90300; a break below could accelerate downside.
A move above the nearest resistance at 110.60500 would invalidate the bearish setup.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, and RSX Midline Cross Down, alongside a Northern Doji candlestick. These indicators collectively suggest that selling pressure is intensifying and that the prevailing downtrend is likely to continue in the near term. The alignment of bearish trends across multiple timeframes—from 15 minutes up to the daily chart—reinforces the strength of this signal, with solid trend scores on the higher timeframes indicating a well-established downtrend.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 110.60500 and support at 109.90300. A break below the support level could open the door for further downside, while a move back above the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The strong probability (87%) and very strong signal strength suggest that traders may look for short opportunities, but should remain vigilant for any signs of reversal, especially given the presence of a bullish ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, which could indicate a short-term bounce.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, EMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, SMA, RSX) all pointing down simultaneously.
▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on higher timeframes.
▼ Northern Doji candlestick adds a bearish reversal confirmation.
▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (87%) indicate robust market conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ The ERI BULL Zero Cross Up suggests a possible short-term bullish momentum that could trigger a bounce.
▲ The nearest support at 109.90300 may act as a strong floor, potentially stalling the decline.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 110.60500, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
▲ Trend formation on lower timeframes is still developing (2/5), so momentum could be fragile.