ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-29 04:30 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % ↓ −8.7 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.52) ▼ Bearish 93 % (18.84)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 5.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

30-minute chart shows a strong bearish cluster with multiple moving average retreats and momentum crosses.
Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are bearish but choppy, while higher timeframes (4h-1d) remain bullish.
Watch the nearest support at 2635.69; a break below could signal a deeper pullback, but the daily uptrend may limit downside.
Resistance at 2721.42 is the level to beat for any bullish reversal.

The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with all major moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) retreating downward, alongside a BOP zero cross down and a STOCHF KD cross down. This confluence of indicator signals, with a very strong strength rating and 92% probability, suggests meaningful downside momentum in the near term. The candlestick group adds further weight, though the specific pattern is not detailed. The alignment across lower timeframes (15m to 2h) is bearish, though choppy, indicating that the current selling pressure is consistent but not yet a clean trend.

However, the higher timeframes tell a different story: the 4h, 8h, and 12h are bullish, with the daily showing a solid uptrend. This creates a conflict between the short-term bearish signals and the longer-term bullish structure. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 2635.69, which aligns with the lower end of the recent range. If this level holds, the bearish move may be a pullback within an overall uptrend. Conversely, a break below could open the door to deeper losses, but the higher timeframe trend suggests buyers may step in. Resistance at 2721.42 is the key level to watch for any reversal back to the upside.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) all retreating downward, confirming strong bearish momentum.
▼ BOP zero cross down and STOCHF KD cross down add momentum confirmation.
▼ Very strong signal strength (92% probability) and a high number of signals fired increase confidence.
▼ Bearish alignment across all lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) supports the short-term downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish, which could invalidate the bearish move if the pullback stalls.
▲ The nearest support at 2635.69 is a potential bounce zone; a hold here could lead to a reversal.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on all timeframes indicate a lack of strong trend, increasing the chance of false signals.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 2721.42, the bearish thesis weakens and a move back toward the upside is possible.