ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL NEW
55 minutes ago
39.0 %
↓ −21.1 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
Scalping
▲ Bullish 27 % (4.72)
▼ Bearish 73 % (13.07)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 14.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
5 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 23.7 %
vs 36.2 % average ·
stopped out 24.5 %
vs 21.5 %
(Crypto, 1,096 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(29 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | STOCH OS Exit | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | SMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | APO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.16 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Entry | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 0.92 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.81 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 0.81 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals on the 30M chart point to a short-term pullback, with support at 2652.20 in focus.
- Higher timeframes (2H-1D) remain bullish, so this is likely a correction, not a trend reversal.
- The 15M timeframe is already bearish, confirming the short-term downside momentum.
- Watch the 2748.60 resistance: a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including APO and BOP zero-line crosses, a DX trend strength reading, STOCH and STOCHRSI downside crosses, and EMA/SMA 200 retreats. This confluence points to a short-term loss of upside momentum and a shift toward lower prices, with the 30M trend score at 2/5 (trend forming) and the 15M already in a solid bearish trend (3/5). The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 2652.20; a break below that would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of the 2748.60 resistance would invalidate the setup.
However, the broader picture is not aligned with this short-term bearish signal. The 2H through 8H timeframes are all bullish (choppy/sideways), and the 12H and 1D show stronger bullish trends (2/5 and 3/5, respectively). This suggests the current sell-off is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. Traders should treat this as a short-term short opportunity with tight risk management, watching for a bounce at support or a bullish reversal pattern on higher timeframes.
However, the broader picture is not aligned with this short-term bearish signal. The 2H through 8H timeframes are all bullish (choppy/sideways), and the 12H and 1D show stronger bullish trends (2/5 and 3/5, respectively). This suggests the current sell-off is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. Traders should treat this as a short-term short opportunity with tight risk management, watching for a bounce at support or a bullish reversal pattern on higher timeframes.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of 12+ bearish signals across oscillators, trend, and moving averages.
- ▼ The 15M timeframe is in a solid bearish trend, supporting the 30M signal.
- ▼ DX Trend Strong indicates a well-defined trend on the 30M, adding conviction.
- ▼ STOCH and STOCHRSI downside crosses suggest momentum is turning lower.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bullish, which could absorb the pullback and reverse the short-term bearish move.
- ▲ The 30M trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the bearish signal is not yet fully confirmed.
- ▲ A break above 2748.60 would invalidate the setup and likely trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 1H and 2H could lead to false signals and whipsaws.
Symbol
ETH/USDT
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
15%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-29 17:30
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 2,748.60000 | 2026-09-29 |
| S1 | 2,652.20000 | 2026-09-29 |
| S2 | 2,635.69000 | 2026-09-28 |