EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-09-29 02:00 UTC 1 hour ago

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 5 % (1.73) ▼ Bearish 95 % (30.21)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 94.6 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 23:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.39
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.12
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart align with a solid downtrend on higher timeframes.
Key resistance at 179.07300 is the invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish setup.
Immediate support at 178.19500 is the first target; watch for a break to confirm continuation.
Strong confluence of momentum, trend, and candlestick signals points to high-probability short setup.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend, ER Level Cross Down, and two bearish candlestick patterns (Long Legged Doji and Shooting Star). This confluence indicates strong selling pressure on the short-term timeframe, with momentum and trend indicators aligning to the downside. The candlestick patterns at the top of a move suggest a potential reversal, while the moving average retreats confirm that price is pulling back from overextended levels.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, ranging from 'trend forming' on the 30-minute to 4-hour charts to 'solid trend' on the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts. This alignment across multiple timeframes strengthens the bearish case, as the short-term signals are in harmony with the broader downtrend. The nearest resistance at 179.07300 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, the nearest support at 178.19500 is the immediate downside target, and a break below it could accelerate the decline.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across timeframes: bearish on all timeframes from 15m to daily, with solid trend on 8h and above.
▼ Confluence of multiple signal types: BOP, stochastic, moving averages, and candlesticks all bearish.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Long Legged Doji and Shooting Star) at a potential reversal zone.
▼ Strong trend scores on higher timeframes (3/5) support continuation.

Risk Factors

▲ A break above resistance at 179.07300 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The 15-minute timeframe shows choppy/sideways action, which could lead to false signals or whipsaws.
▲ Momentum indicators may be overextended, risking a bounce before further downside.
▲ If support at 178.19500 holds, the pair could consolidate, delaying the expected move.