EUR/USD – 2H – SELL
SELL NEW
1 hour ago
59.3 %
– erste Kerze
VERY STRONG
⚡ Confluence +28%
Intraday
▲ Bullish 10 % (4.92)
▼ Bearish 90 % (42.91)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
51.6% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 89.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(29 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Flagbreak + retest | chart_pattern | 3.05 |
| ▼ | BBANDS LOWER Break Down | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▲ | AO Saucer Bullish | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▲ | KST Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | Shooting Star | candlestick | 1.05 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.95 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on EUR/USD 2H, with a Bear Flag pattern and multiple trend-following indicators aligning.
- Bearish trend is consistent across all timeframes, with the strongest momentum on 4H and 8H.
- Key resistance to watch is 1.14952; a break above it could invalidate the bearish setup.
- No immediate support level is defined, so traders should manage risk carefully and consider using the recent lows as a reference.
The EUR/USD pair is exhibiting a strongly bearish setup on the 2-hour chart, with a confluence of signals pointing to continued downside momentum. The Bear Flag pattern, a classic continuation pattern, aligns with the bearish trend across all monitored timeframes, from 15 minutes to daily. The 4-hour and 8-hour charts show very strong bearish trends (4/5), reinforcing the lower-timeframe signals. The recent break below the lower Bollinger Band, coupled with a StochRSI bearish cross, suggests accelerating downside volatility. The EMA, KAMA, MAMA, and midpoint all retreating confirms that the prevailing trend is firmly in the sellers' favor. The nearest resistance at 1.14952 is the immediate hurdle for any bounce, while the absence of a defined support level implies a potentially open downside, though this also means a lack of clear target zones.
Traders should watch for a continuation of the bearish move as long as price remains below the resistance level. The strong trend scores across higher timeframes (4H and 8H) add weight to the bearish thesis. However, the lack of a defined support level introduces uncertainty about how far the move can extend. The 'very strong' signal strength and the high probability (89%) suggest a high-confidence setup, but risk management remains crucial given the absence of a clear support target.
Traders should watch for a continuation of the bearish move as long as price remains below the resistance level. The strong trend scores across higher timeframes (4H and 8H) add weight to the bearish thesis. However, the lack of a defined support level introduces uncertainty about how far the move can extend. The 'very strong' signal strength and the high probability (89%) suggest a high-confidence setup, but risk management remains crucial given the absence of a clear support target.
Catalysts
- ▼ Bear Flag pattern suggests a continuation of the existing downtrend.
- ▼ All timeframes (15m to 1D) are in a bearish trend, with 4H and 8H showing very strong trend scores.
- ▼ Break below the lower Bollinger Band indicates an acceleration of bearish momentum.
- ▼ Multiple moving averages (EMA, KAMA, MAMA, midpoint) are retreating, confirming the downtrend.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The nearest resistance at 1.14952 could act as a pivot if price rebounds, potentially invalidating the signal.
- ▲ The lack of a defined support level means the downside is open-ended, but also that a bounce could occur without a clear target.
- ▲ StochRSI is oversold, which could lead to a short-term pullback or consolidation before further downside.
- ▲ Although the 2H signal is very strong, a sudden shift in news sentiment or economic data could quickly reverse the trend.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
90%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-29 14:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.14952 | 2026-09-21 |
| R2 | 1.15561 | 2026-09-16 |
| R3 | 1.16538 | 2026-09-09 |