GBP/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED

2026-09-29 06:00 UTC 20 hours ago

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (24.70)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 11 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flagbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.66
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.46
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.41
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.34
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.93
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.29
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.03
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.02
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence: Bear Flag plus multiple momentum crossovers and EMA retreat.
All timeframes align bearish, with the strongest trends on 8H/12H.
Watch 1.34000 as resistance/invalidation and 1.32180 as the nearest support target.
High probability (98%) and very strong signal strength suggest a high-conviction sell.

The GBP/USD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Bear Flag pattern and confirmed by a broad sweep of momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHRSI, WILLR) all crossing or entering oversold territory. The EMA Retreat Down adds trend-aligned confirmation. With 98% probability and very strong strength, this is a high-conviction sell setup.

Across timeframes, bearish alignment is consistent: from 15m up to 1d, every timeframe is bearish, with the 8H and 12H showing very strong trends (4/5). The 2H and 4H are solid (3/5), while shorter frames are still forming, suggesting the move is mature but not exhausted. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 1.34000 (likely invalidation zone) and nearest support at 1.32180, which is the immediate downside target.

Catalysts

▼ Bear Flag pattern provides a classic continuation setup.
▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHRSI, WILLR) all confirm downside momentum.
▼ EMA Retreat Down adds trend-aligned confirmation.
▼ Multi-timeframe bearish alignment, with 8H and 12H very strong trends.

Risk Factors

▲ If price breaks above 1.34000, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are only trend forming or choppy, which could lead to pullbacks.
▲ WILLR oversold entry may signal short-term exhaustion, risking a bounce.
▲ Watch for any bullish reversal candlestick patterns near support.