SOL/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-29 08:00 UTC 1 hour ago

37.9 % ↓ −19.3 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 31 % (5.74) ▼ Bearish 69 % (12.63)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

48.7% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 9.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 23.7 % vs 36.2 % average · stopped out 24.5 % vs 21.5 % (Crypto, 1,096 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.51
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.80
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.43
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.09
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.90
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.76
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.67
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.54

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish cluster on the 1H chart points to short-term downside momentum.
The higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, creating a conflict that limits the signal's reliability.
Watch the 120.73000 support: a break below confirms the bearish move, while a hold could trigger a bounce.
The signal is moderate strength (68% probability) — not a high-conviction setup.

The 1H chart for SOL/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Bearish Engulfing candlestick and a BOP Zero Cross Down, alongside momentum oscillators (STOCH, WILLR, KDJ, RSX) rolling over from overbought conditions. The SMA 50 Retreat Down and ER Level Cross Down add trend-confirmation weight, while the moderate 68% probability and the broad signal mix suggest a coordinated short-term shift rather than a single isolated trigger.

However, the bearish case is confined to the lower timeframes. The 1H and 2H trends are bearish but still forming (2/5 and 1/5 strength), while the 8H, 12H, and 1D trends remain bullish and solid (3/5, 3/5, 4/5 respectively). This creates a clear conflict: the immediate momentum is down, but the higher-timeframe structure is still up. The nearest resistance sits at 120.73000, and support at 120.73000 is the first downside target. A break below that would open the path toward deeper support, but any bullish revival from the daily trend could quickly invalidate the short-term sell signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (STOCH, WILLR, KDJ, RSX) all exited overbought conditions simultaneously.
▼ A Bearish Engulfing candlestick adds a clear reversal pattern at a key level.
▼ The SMA 50 Retreat Down and ER Level Cross Down confirm the short-term trend shift.
▼ The 1H and 2H trends are both bearish, aligning with the signal direction.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily, 12H, and 8H trends are strongly bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish move.
▲ The 15M and 30M trends are still bullish, suggesting the sell signal may be premature.
▲ A bounce off the 120.73000 support would invalidate the bearish setup and could lead to a retest of resistance.
▲ The signal probability is only 68%, leaving room for false signals in a choppy market.