SOL/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-29 08:30 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % ↓ −2.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 39 % (12.27) ▼ Bearish 61 % (19.26)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 23.7 % vs 36.2 % average · stopped out 24.5 % vs 21.5 % (Crypto, 1,096 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	2.69
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.33
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.26
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.21
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.10
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▲	Three Line Strike - Bullish	candlestick	1.34
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	Collapsing Doji Star	candlestick	1.18
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	0.95
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.89
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.87
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.84
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.69

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought exit signals and momentum crossovers are firing on the 30m chart, pointing to a short-term bearish pullback.
The overall trend structure is mixed: lower timeframes are bullish/choppy, mid timeframes bearish, and higher timeframes strongly bullish, so this sell signal likely represents a pullback within a larger uptrend.
Key levels: resistance at 120.73000 and support at 116.32000; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while holding support could invalidate the signal.
Signal strength is weak (61%), so expect limited downside unless the price breaks below the nearest support.

The SELL signal on SOL/USDT at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a cluster of overbought exit signals and momentum crossovers, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCH OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, ULTOSC OB Exit, WILLR OB Exit, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, and ER Level Cross Down. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent short-term upward push has exhausted its immediate momentum, with the balance of power shifting bearish. However, the signal's strength is weak (61% probability), and the higher timeframe trend is mixed: the 15m and 30m are bullish but choppy, while the 1h, 2h, and 4h are bearish, and the 8h, 12h, and 1d are strongly bullish. This creates a conflicting picture where the short-term bearish signal may be a pullback within a larger uptrend.

The key levels to watch are resistance at 120.73000 and support at 116.32000. A break below the support would confirm the bearish momentum and align with the lower timeframe trend, potentially opening the path toward lower prices. Conversely, if the price holds above support and reclaims the 30m bullish bias, the sell signal could be invalidated. Given the weak signal strength and the strong bullish daily trend, traders should treat this as a potential short-term correction rather than a major reversal. The confluence of overbought exits across multiple oscillators does add weight, but the lack of trend alignment across timeframes reduces conviction.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH, ULTOSC, WILLR) and momentum crossovers (BOP, STOCHRSI, ER) all aligning on the 30m timeframe.
▼ The 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes are already bearish, providing some alignment with the short-term sell signal.
▼ The signal is occurring near a resistance level (120.73000), which could act as a barrier to further upside and support the bearish move.
▼ The candlestick group signals add a price-action confirmation to the indicator-based bearish signals.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are strongly bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal and lead to a quick reversal.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are still bullish (albeit choppy), so the sell signal may be premature if the price continues to make higher lows.
▲ The signal strength is weak (61%), indicating lower probability of a sustained move; momentum could fade quickly.
▲ If the price fails to break below the nearest support at 116.32000, the bearish scenario may be invalidated, and the price could resume the broader uptrend.