TRX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-09-29 12:00 UTC 1 hour ago

52.8 % ↓ −14.3 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 44 % (10.00) ▼ Bearish 56 % (12.97)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 56.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 23.7 % vs 36.2 % average · stopped out 24.5 % vs 21.5 % (Crypto, 1,096 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	1.77
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.69
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.17
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.05

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum signals fired on the 30-minute chart, but with weak strength and conflicting bullish indicators.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are bearish, but lower timeframes (15M-2H) are bullish, creating a mixed trend picture.
Watch the support at 0.33410 and resistance at 0.33630 for direction confirmation.
The signal is more of a short-term pullback signal than a strong trend reversal.

The 30-minute TRX/USDT chart has triggered a cluster of bearish momentum signals, including MOM, ROC, ROCR, and FISHER zero-cross downs, alongside an ER level cross down. These indicate that short-term selling pressure is building and that the recent upward momentum may be stalling. However, the signal strength is weak (59%) and the HMA direction is up, while the Ichimoku Cloud is bullish, suggesting that the bearish signals are not yet fully aligned with the broader trend.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed. The 15-minute through 2-hour timeframes are all bullish, though with only forming trends (2/5), while the 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes are bearish (2/5), and the 12-hour is bearish but choppy. The daily is bullish but choppy. This suggests that the immediate trend is bullish but with weak conviction, and the bearish signals on the 30-minute may be a counter-trend pullback within a larger bullish structure. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.33630 and support at 0.33410. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a hold above could see the bullish trend resume.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR, FISHER) all crossing zero down, indicating synchronized selling pressure.
▼ ER level cross down adds to the bearish signal, reinforcing the momentum shift.
▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends (4H, 8H) provide a backdrop that could support a deeper pullback.
▼ The proximity of resistance at 0.33630 may cap upside and encourage sellers.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish Ichimoku Cloud and HMA direction up suggest that the immediate trend is still bullish, which could override the bearish signals.
▲ Lower timeframes (15M-2H) are all showing bullish trends, indicating strong buying interest that could push price higher.
▲ The weak signal strength (59%) and forming trend scores (2/5) suggest low conviction, so the bearish move may be short-lived.
▲ If price holds above support at 0.33410, the bearish momentum could fade and the trend could resume upward.