AUD/CAD – 2H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-09-29 22:00 UTC 41 minutes ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 82 % (12.52) ▼ Bearish 18 % (2.83)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.6% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 81.6 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.4 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 12.6 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 143 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	2.57
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.49
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.15
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.96
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.91
▼	TRIX Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.77
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.45
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of eight bullish indicators fired on the 2H chart, pointing to a short-term upward reversal.
The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal with limited upside unless resistance breaks.
Watch the key levels: resistance at 0.99962 and support at 0.98999.
The daily timeframe is bullish but weak, offering potential longer-term support for the move.

The AUD/CAD 2H signal has fired a cluster of eight bullish indicators, including CCI and Williams %R oversold exits, a stochastic cross up, and breakouts above the Hull and Zero-Lag moving averages. These together suggest that downside momentum has stalled and that a short-term reversal is underway, with the price moving back above short-term dynamic support. The confluence of these oscillators and moving-average breaks increases the conviction behind the bullish move, although the broader trend context remains cautious.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish from 15 minutes up to 2 hours, with trend scores of 2/5, and the 4H and 8H are also bearish but choppy. Only the daily timeframe is bullish, but with a weak 1/5 score. This means the bullish signal is counter-trend on the lower timeframes, and the daily bullish bias provides a potential longer-term anchor. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.99962, which aligns with the recent swing high, and support at 0.98999, which is the nearby swing low. A move above resistance would strengthen the case for a larger reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exits (CCI, Williams %R) and a stochastic cross up indicate a momentum shift from bearish to bullish.
▲ Breakouts above the Hull and Zero-Lag moving averages add technical confluence to the reversal signal.
▲ The daily bullish bias, though weak, provides a higher-timeframe backdrop that could support a bounce.
▲ The signal's high probability (81%) and strong strength suggest robust alignment among the indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend on lower timeframes is bearish, so the bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce that could fade.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.99962 is a tough barrier; a failure to break above it could lead to a pullback.
▼ A break below support at 0.98999 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a continuation of the downtrend.
▼ The overall trend scores are weak (2/5 or lower), indicating a lack of strong directional momentum, which could lead to choppy price action.