ETH/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-29 22:00 UTC 1 hour ago

53.9 % – erste Kerze

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 41 % (4.65) ▼ Bearish 59 % (6.66)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

46.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 58.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 23.7 % vs 36.2 % average · stopped out 24.5 % vs 21.5 % (Crypto, 1,096 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 23:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.86
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.51
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	High Wave Bullish	candlestick	1.22

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 1H chart are weak and conflict with the bullish higher timeframes.
Watch the 2652.20 support: a break confirms downside, while a hold could lead to a bounce.
Resistance at 2748.60 is the key level to reclaim for bulls to regain control.
Choppy price action across most timeframes calls for caution and confirmation before acting.

The 1H chart for ETH/USDT has fired a cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Up and MACD Zero Cross Down, with supporting momentum signals from STOCH KD Cross Down, TSI Zero Cross Down, and HMA Direction Down. The EMA 200 Retreat Up and a High Wave Bullish candlestick pattern add to the bearish tilt, suggesting that buying pressure is fading and sellers are gaining control on this timeframe. However, the signal is weak (58% probability) and the broader trend is mixed: lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bearish but choppy, while higher timeframes (2h through 1d) remain bullish, with the daily showing a solid uptrend. This divergence implies the current bearish signal may be a pullback within a larger bullish structure rather than a trend reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 2748.60 and support at 2652.20. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the door to further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish case. Given the weak signal strength and the conflicting higher timeframe trends, traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity with tight risk management, not a high-conviction trade. The choppy nature of the lower timeframes also suggests that price action may be erratic, so patience and confirmation are advised.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators align on the 1H timeframe, including MACD, STOCH, and TSI cross-downs.
▼ The BOP Zero Cross Up suggests selling pressure is increasing, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
▼ The EMA 200 Retreat Up and High Wave Bullish pattern add to the bearish confluence.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are all bearish, aligning with the signal direction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2h through 1d) remain bullish, with the daily showing a solid uptrend, which could limit downside.
▲ The signal strength is weak (58%) and the trend scores are low, indicating a lack of conviction.
▲ If price holds above support at 2652.20 and forms a higher low, the bearish setup could fail.
▲ A break above resistance at 2748.60 would invalidate the bearish signal and signal a resumption of the broader uptrend.