ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-29 23:00 UTC 57 minutes ago

62.9 % – zur Vorkerze

STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 18 % (4.06) ▼ Bearish 82 % (19.08)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 82.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 23.7 % vs 36.2 % average · stopped out 24.5 % vs 21.5 % (Crypto, 1,096 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 23:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Pennantbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.46
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.46
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.56
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.14
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart points to short-term downside momentum.
The Bear Pennant pattern and multiple zero-cross downs confirm the bearish bias on the lower timeframe.
Broader timeframes (12h, 1d) remain bullish, suggesting this is likely a corrective pullback, not a reversal.
Key levels: support at 2668.40 and resistance at 2748.60; a break of support could extend losses, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Bear Pennant pattern, multiple zero-cross downside confirmations (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR), and retreats below key moving averages (DEMA, EMA) and a higher-timeframe trendline. This confluence points to a short-term momentum shift to the downside, with the immediate bias favoring a test of the nearest support at 2668.40. However, the broader trend structure remains bullish, as the 12-hour and daily timeframes show strengthening uptrends (scores of 2/5 and 3/5, respectively), while the 2-hour through 8-hour timeframes are flat-to-bullish. This creates a conflicting picture: the bearish signals are likely a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, not a reversal.

The key levels to watch are the nearest support at 2668.40 and resistance at 2748.60. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door to further downside, but the higher-timeframe bullish bias suggests that such a move may be limited. Conversely, a reclaim of the 2748.60 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and signal that the pullback has ended. Traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity aligned with the 30-minute trend, while respecting the larger bullish structure.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of signals: Bear Pennant, BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR zero-cross downs, and DEMA/EMA retreats all align bearish.
▼ The 15-minute through 1-hour timeframes are all bearish, confirming the short-term trend direction.
▼ The signal probability is high (84%) with strong strength, indicating robust alignment of indicators.
▼ The nearest resistance at 2748.60 has not been reclaimed, keeping the bearish pressure intact.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a quick reversal.
▲ The overall trend scores are weak (1/5) on the lower timeframes, suggesting choppy, sideways conditions that can whipsaw.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 2748.60 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a return to the larger uptrend.
▲ Momentum indicators may be overextended to the downside, increasing the risk of a bounce.