ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
37.9 % ↓ −29.2 zur Vorkerze
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 4 % (1.80) ▼ Bearish 96 % (46.85)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 8.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
ETH/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 9%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Sep 2026, 06:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SAR Flip Bearish indicator 2.07
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.74
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.73
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.72
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.70
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.62
▼ CHOP Choppy indicator 1.59
▲ DX Trend Strong indicator 1.57
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.55
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.29
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.24
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.24
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.16
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.16
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.16
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.15
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.05
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 0.94
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.81

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal fired on the 30-minute chart, with momentum and trend indicators all aligned to the downside.
  • The immediate downside target is support at 2652.20, while resistance at 2748.60 caps any bounce.
  • Higher timeframes (2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, so this is likely a corrective move within a larger uptrend.
  • Watch the support level carefully—a break below would confirm the bearish momentum and could lead to a deeper pullback.
The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has fired a very strong bearish signal, with a broad cluster of momentum and trend indicators all aligning to the downside. The AROON Strong Downtrend, DX Trend Strong, and multiple zero-cross-down signals on BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, and ROCR confirm a decisive shift in short-term momentum. The STOCH KD Cross Down adds a timing element, suggesting the pullback is gaining traction. The bearish momentum is supported by a bearish 15-minute and 1-hour backdrop, though these are choppy and lack strong trend conviction. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 2652.20, while any bounce faces resistance at 2748.60.

However, the higher timeframes tell a different story. The 2-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are all bullish, with the daily showing a solid trend. This creates a conflict between the short-term bearish momentum and the longer-term bullish structure. The signal is likely a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, but the strength of the 30-minute signal suggests the correction could extend. The key levels to watch are the support at 2652.20—a break below would confirm the bearish momentum and open the door to further downside—and the resistance at 2748.60, which must hold to keep the bearish case intact.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong alignment of multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing below zero.
  • ▼ Aroon Strong Downtrend and DX Trend Strong confirm a robust downtrend on the 30-minute timeframe.
  • ▼ STOCH KD Cross Down provides a clear timing signal for the bearish move.
  • ▼ The bearish momentum is supported by the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes, though they are choppy.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a reversal.
  • ▲ The 15-minute and 1-hour trends are weak (choppy/sideways), so the bearish momentum may not be sustained.
  • ▲ A break above resistance at 2748.60 would invalidate the bearish signal and suggest the pullback is over.
  • ▲ The signal is on a short timeframe (30M), which is prone to whipsaws and false breakouts.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 9%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-30 06:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,748.60000 2026-09-29
S1 2,652.20000 2026-09-29
S2 2,635.69000 2026-09-28

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