ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
37.9 %
↓ −29.2 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
Scalping
▲ Bullish 4 % (1.80)
▼ Bearish 96 % (46.85)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 8.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(30 Sep 2026, 06:30 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | CHOP Choppy | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.16 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.16 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.16 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.15 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.05 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 0.94 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.81 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A very strong bearish signal fired on the 30-minute chart, with momentum and trend indicators all aligned to the downside.
- The immediate downside target is support at 2652.20, while resistance at 2748.60 caps any bounce.
- Higher timeframes (2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, so this is likely a corrective move within a larger uptrend.
- Watch the support level carefully—a break below would confirm the bearish momentum and could lead to a deeper pullback.
The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has fired a very strong bearish signal, with a broad cluster of momentum and trend indicators all aligning to the downside. The AROON Strong Downtrend, DX Trend Strong, and multiple zero-cross-down signals on BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, and ROCR confirm a decisive shift in short-term momentum. The STOCH KD Cross Down adds a timing element, suggesting the pullback is gaining traction. The bearish momentum is supported by a bearish 15-minute and 1-hour backdrop, though these are choppy and lack strong trend conviction. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 2652.20, while any bounce faces resistance at 2748.60.
However, the higher timeframes tell a different story. The 2-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are all bullish, with the daily showing a solid trend. This creates a conflict between the short-term bearish momentum and the longer-term bullish structure. The signal is likely a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, but the strength of the 30-minute signal suggests the correction could extend. The key levels to watch are the support at 2652.20—a break below would confirm the bearish momentum and open the door to further downside—and the resistance at 2748.60, which must hold to keep the bearish case intact.
However, the higher timeframes tell a different story. The 2-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are all bullish, with the daily showing a solid trend. This creates a conflict between the short-term bearish momentum and the longer-term bullish structure. The signal is likely a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, but the strength of the 30-minute signal suggests the correction could extend. The key levels to watch are the support at 2652.20—a break below would confirm the bearish momentum and open the door to further downside—and the resistance at 2748.60, which must hold to keep the bearish case intact.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong alignment of multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing below zero.
- ▼ Aroon Strong Downtrend and DX Trend Strong confirm a robust downtrend on the 30-minute timeframe.
- ▼ STOCH KD Cross Down provides a clear timing signal for the bearish move.
- ▼ The bearish momentum is supported by the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes, though they are choppy.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a reversal.
- ▲ The 15-minute and 1-hour trends are weak (choppy/sideways), so the bearish momentum may not be sustained.
- ▲ A break above resistance at 2748.60 would invalidate the bearish signal and suggest the pullback is over.
- ▲ The signal is on a short timeframe (30M), which is prone to whipsaws and false breakouts.
Symbol
ETH/USDT
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
9%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-30 06:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 2,748.60000 | 2026-09-29 |
| S1 | 2,652.20000 | 2026-09-29 |
| S2 | 2,635.69000 | 2026-09-28 |