EUR/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-09-30 00:00 UTC 43 minutes ago

61.0 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Intraday

▲ Bullish 92 % (17.08) ▼ Bearish 8 % (1.54)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

57.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 91.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 6.4 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 13.7 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 233 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.31
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.09
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.83
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.69
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.42
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.27
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.78

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals on the 1H chart suggest a possible short-term bounce, but the overall trend is bearish across all timeframes.
Resistance at 179.129 is the immediate upside target; a break above could extend the move, while support at 178.195 is the key invalidation level.
This is a counter-trend setup: the bearish higher-timeframe trend argues against sustained upside, so expect limited profit potential.
Watch for confirmation: a strong bullish candle closing above resistance would increase confidence, but a drop below support would negate the signal.

The 1H EUR/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, and AO Saucer Bullish, alongside trend-following indicators like DX Trend Strong and DEMA Retreat Up. These signals suggest that buying pressure is building and that the recent pullback may be losing momentum. However, the broader trend across all timeframes, from 15 minutes to daily, remains bearish, with the 1H and 2H showing solid downtrends. This creates a conflict: the intraday signals point to a potential bounce, but the higher-timeframe trend is firmly against sustained upside.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 179.129 and support at 178.195. A break above resistance would signal that the bullish momentum is gaining traction, while a drop below support would invalidate the buy signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the strong bearish alignment across timeframes, traders should treat this as a counter-trend opportunity with limited upside potential, requiring tight risk management and confirmation from price action.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (BOP, MACD, AO, DEMA, ALMA) on the 1H timeframe increases the likelihood of a bounce.
▲ The signals include trend-following and momentum indicators, suggesting that buying pressure is building after a pullback.
▲ The nearest support at 178.195 has held, providing a potential base for a reversal attempt.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes (1H to daily) is a strong headwind; a counter-trend bounce may be short-lived.
▼ The 15m and 30m timeframes are bearish and choppy, indicating that the immediate momentum is not yet aligned with the buy signal.
▼ If price breaks below 178.195 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ Resistance at 179.129 is nearby and may cap upside, especially if the broader trend remains bearish.