EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-09-30 00:00 UTC 39 minutes ago

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 95 % (19.55) ▼ Bearish 5 % (1.01)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 19.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 6.4 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 13.7 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 233 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 21:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KST Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.27
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.84
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.55
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▼	KDJ OB Entry	indicator	1.01
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart indicates strong short-term buying momentum.
The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 179.12900: a break above could signal a more sustained reversal.
The nearest support at 178.19500 is the invalidation level; a drop below it would negate the bullish signal.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, HT SINE Zero Cross Up, and FISHER Zero Cross Up. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators suggests a strong short-term buying impulse is developing. The signal's high probability (95%) and very strong strength reflect the alignment of multiple technical triggers at the same time, which often marks a decisive shift in intraday sentiment.

However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains firmly bearish, with solid trends on the 1-hour and higher charts. This creates a potential conflict: the 30-minute signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 179.12900 is a critical level; a break above it could signal a more sustained reversal, while failure to hold above it may see the pair resume its bearish path. The nearest support at 178.19500 is the key invalidation level for this bullish signal—if price falls below it, the bullish momentum is likely to fade.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing above zero, indicating synchronized bullish pressure.
▲ Additional bullish triggers from DEMA Retreat Up, HT SINE Zero Cross Up, and FISHER Zero Cross Up, reinforcing the strength of the signal.
▲ The signal's very strong strength and 95% probability suggest a high-confidence setup, often leading to a quick move toward resistance.
▲ A potential short-term bounce could find support from oversold conditions, as many oscillators are turning up from low levels.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend on higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) may overwhelm this counter-trend signal, leading to a failed bounce.
▼ If the price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 179.12900, the bullish momentum could fade and the downtrend could resume.
▼ The 15-minute timeframe is choppy and sideways, which may reduce the reliability of the signal and lead to whipsaws.
▼ A drop below the nearest support at 178.19500 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger a continuation lower.