EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-30 19:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 9 % (2.14) ▼ Bearish 91 % (22.64)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Sep 2026, 16:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.37
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.25
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.65
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.40

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30-minute chart aligns with a solid downtrend on higher timeframes.
Watch the nearest support at 177.33400; a break below confirms further downside.
Resistance at 178.55900 is the key invalidation level for the bearish setup.
The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are choppy, so expect possible short-term volatility.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, HMA Break Down, and ZLMA Break Down. This confluence indicates that the recent upward correction has stalled and momentum is now shifting in favor of sellers. The signals align with the broader bearish structure visible on the 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes, all of which show solid or forming downtrends. The higher timeframe bearish bias provides a strong backdrop for the short-term sell signal, suggesting that the pullback is likely to resume the larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 177.33400 and resistance at 178.55900. A break below support would confirm the resumption of the downtrend and open the path toward lower lows, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The alignment across multiple timeframes, combined with the high signal probability and strong strength, points to a high-conviction trade setup. However, traders should remain cautious of the choppy 15-minute and 30-minute trends, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (CCI, STOCH, BBANDS, EMA, HMA, ZLMA) all point to bearish momentum.
▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid or forming downtrends, providing strong alignment.
▼ The price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band and breaking below key moving averages suggests sellers are in control.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are bullish and choppy, which could lead to a counter-trend bounce.
▲ A move back above the 178.55900 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum could fade if the price fails to break below the nearest support, leading to a sideways consolidation.
▲ The 1-hour trend is still forming bullish, which may conflict with the immediate bearish bias.