SOL/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
35.9 % ↓ −3.8 zur Vorkerze
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (34.11)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 7.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.2 % vs 36.2 % average · stopped out 31.5 % vs 21.5 % (Crypto, 841 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
SOL/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 7%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Sep 2026, 00:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA 200 Break Down indicator 3.31
▼ KAMA Break Down indicator 3.30
▼ MA Break Down indicator 2.66
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.22
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.19
▼ SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.17
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.10
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.88
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.77
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.65
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.26
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.15
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 0.94
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 0.93
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 0.67

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish indicators aligned on the 30m chart, signaling strong short-term selling pressure.
  • Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish, so this is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend.
  • Watch the 117.36 support; a break could extend the decline, while a hold may lead to consolidation.
  • A move back above 121.69 would weaken the bearish case and suggest a possible reversal.
The 30-minute chart for SOL/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a CMO Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and breaks below the EMA 200, KAMA, and MA. This confluence suggests strong short-term selling pressure and a likely continuation of the downward move. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15m and 30m timeframes are bearish, the 1h through 4h are still bullish (albeit choppy), and the 8h, 12h, and 1d remain in solid uptrends. This divergence highlights that the bearish signal is primarily a short-term correction within a larger bullish structure.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 121.69 and support at 117.36. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a bounce at support might signal a pause. Given the strong probability and very strong strength of the signal, traders should respect the bearish momentum in the short term but remain cautious of the higher-timeframe bullish bias. The signal's effectiveness depends on whether the price respects the resistance and sustains the downward momentum, with a close back above 121.69 potentially invalidating the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of over 15 bearish signals on the 30m timeframe, including CMO, DI, DM, RSI, STOCH, and moving average breaks.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment on both 15m and 30m timeframes, reinforcing the short-term downtrend.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength and 100% probability, indicating robust momentum behind the move.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 121.69 provides a clear level where sellers could step in.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1h–4h) are still bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
  • ▲ The 8h, 12h, and 1d trends are solidly bullish, suggesting the broader uptrend may resume.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes could result in false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ If price reclaims 121.69, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and a rally could follow.
Symbol SOL/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-30 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 121.69000 2026-09-29
R2 123.45000 2026-09-27
R3 124.95000 2026-09-27
S1 117.36000 2026-09-29
S2 116.32000 2026-09-29

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