SOL/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL NEW
1 hour ago
35.9 %
↓ −3.8 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
Scalping
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100 % (34.11)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 7.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
6 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 17.2 %
vs 36.2 % average ·
stopped out 31.5 %
vs 21.5 %
(Crypto, 841 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(30 Sep 2026, 00:30 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | EMA 200 Break Down | indicator | 3.31 |
| ▼ | KAMA Break Down | indicator | 3.30 |
| ▼ | MA Break Down | indicator | 2.66 |
| ▼ | HMA Break Down | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | T3 Break Down | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▼ | SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.26 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 1.15 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 0.94 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 0.93 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 0.67 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish indicators aligned on the 30m chart, signaling strong short-term selling pressure.
- Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish, so this is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend.
- Watch the 117.36 support; a break could extend the decline, while a hold may lead to consolidation.
- A move back above 121.69 would weaken the bearish case and suggest a possible reversal.
The 30-minute chart for SOL/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a CMO Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and breaks below the EMA 200, KAMA, and MA. This confluence suggests strong short-term selling pressure and a likely continuation of the downward move. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15m and 30m timeframes are bearish, the 1h through 4h are still bullish (albeit choppy), and the 8h, 12h, and 1d remain in solid uptrends. This divergence highlights that the bearish signal is primarily a short-term correction within a larger bullish structure.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 121.69 and support at 117.36. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a bounce at support might signal a pause. Given the strong probability and very strong strength of the signal, traders should respect the bearish momentum in the short term but remain cautious of the higher-timeframe bullish bias. The signal's effectiveness depends on whether the price respects the resistance and sustains the downward momentum, with a close back above 121.69 potentially invalidating the bearish setup.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 121.69 and support at 117.36. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a bounce at support might signal a pause. Given the strong probability and very strong strength of the signal, traders should respect the bearish momentum in the short term but remain cautious of the higher-timeframe bullish bias. The signal's effectiveness depends on whether the price respects the resistance and sustains the downward momentum, with a close back above 121.69 potentially invalidating the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of over 15 bearish signals on the 30m timeframe, including CMO, DI, DM, RSI, STOCH, and moving average breaks.
- ▼ Bearish alignment on both 15m and 30m timeframes, reinforcing the short-term downtrend.
- ▼ Very strong signal strength and 100% probability, indicating robust momentum behind the move.
- ▼ Nearest resistance at 121.69 provides a clear level where sellers could step in.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (1h–4h) are still bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
- ▲ The 8h, 12h, and 1d trends are solidly bullish, suggesting the broader uptrend may resume.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes could result in false breakouts or whipsaws.
- ▲ If price reclaims 121.69, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and a rally could follow.
Symbol
SOL/USDT
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
7%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-30 00:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 121.69000 | 2026-09-29 |
| R2 | 123.45000 | 2026-09-27 |
| R3 | 124.95000 | 2026-09-27 |
| S1 | 117.36000 | 2026-09-29 |
| S2 | 116.32000 | 2026-09-29 |
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