USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-09-30 00:00 UTC 40 minutes ago

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +24% Scalping

▲ Bullish 86 % (53.09) ▼ Bearish 14 % (8.89)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 19.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 21:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.70
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.35
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.30
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.29
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.28
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	2.01
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.72
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.40
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.06
▲	Hammer	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

UPExtremely strong trend

UPVery strong trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 30M with 85% probability, backed by multiple indicators and trendline break.
Higher timeframes (1H to 12H) are bullish, confirming the buy bias despite short-term bearishness.
Watch for a break above 1.42018 resistance to confirm momentum; a drop below 1.41755 support would invalidate the signal.
ADXR shows a weak trend, so expect possible choppiness before a clear directional move.

The USD/CAD 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with 85% probability and 'very strong' strength. The confluence of signals is notable: a Trendline Break Up, EMA Retreat Up, and KAMA Retreat Up all point to bullish momentum, while the BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure. However, the ADXR Trend Weak and the various crosses (DI, DM, APO) suggest the trend is still in its early stages, which is consistent with the 30-minute timeframe showing a choppy, sideways market. The key takeaway is that this is a potential early-stage bullish move within a larger bullish structure.

The higher timeframe alignment is strongly supportive. While the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are bearish or neutral, the 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour timeframes all show bullish trends, with the 4-hour being 'extremely strong' (5/5). This suggests the buy signal on the 30-minute chart is a counter-trend move against the very short-term bearish bias but aligns with the dominant bullish trend on higher timeframes. The nearest resistance at 1.42018 is the immediate target, while support at 1.41755 is the critical level to watch. A break above resistance could accelerate the move, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish signal.

Catalysts

▲ Trendline Break Up on 30M indicates a bullish reversal from the recent downtrend.
▲ Strong bullish alignment on higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) provides a solid backdrop for upward moves.
▲ EMA Retreat Up and KAMA Retreat Up suggest price is pulling back to moving averages and bouncing, a classic bullish setup.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up shows improving buying pressure, supporting the bullish case.

Risk Factors

▼ The 30M trend is still bearish/choppy, and the ADXR indicates a weak trend, so the signal could fail if momentum fades.
▼ The 15M and 30M timeframes are bearish, which could pull price back to support before any upside.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.41755 would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to a deeper pullback.
▼ The APO Zero Cross Down and DI/DM Cross Down signals are bearish, suggesting some conflicting momentum on the 30M chart.