USD/JPY – 12H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-30 00:00 UTC 46 minutes ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 8 % (2.38) ▼ Bearish 92 % (26.13)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.0% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 91.6 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.54
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	2.38
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.29
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.88
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.69
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.65
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.22

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators on the 12H chart are aligned bearish, signaling a strong sell opportunity.
The bearish trend is consistent from 30m up to 8H, with the 12H trend forming, but the daily remains bullish.
Watch the nearest support at 152.883 for a potential breakdown; resistance at 160.389 is the key invalidation level.
Given the very strong signal strength, the bias is firmly bearish, but the daily uptrend is a cautionary factor.

The USD/JPY 12H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, SAR Flip Bearish, T3 Retreat Down, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down, RSX OB Exit, and SMI Signal Cross Down, among others. This confluence indicates a strong shift in momentum toward the downside on the 12H timeframe. The trend is bearish across most intraday timeframes (30m through 8H), with the 12H trend forming and the daily still bullish. This suggests the bearish pressure is building from the lower timeframes and is now aligning with the 12H, though the higher timeframe (daily) remains in a solid uptrend, which could limit the downside.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 160.389 and nearest support at 152.883. A break below support would confirm further downside, while a bounce off support could see a retest of resistance. The very strong signal strength (91% probability) and the wide array of indicators all pointing lower make the bearish case compelling, but traders should be cautious of the daily bullish trend and potential for a pullback or reversal if price reclaims resistance.

Catalysts

▼ High confluence of bearish signals (DI, DM, STOCH, SAR, T3, ERI, RSX, SMI) all pointing down.
▼ Bearish trend across multiple timeframes (30m to 8H) supporting the 12H signal.
▼ Very strong signal strength (91% probability) indicating high confidence in the move.
▼ Nearest resistance at 160.389 is well above current price, providing room for downside.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily timeframe is still in a solid uptrend (3/5), which could counteract the bearish pressure.
▲ Price is near the nearest support at 152.883; a bounce here could invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 160.389, the bearish thesis would be negated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the daily trend reasserts itself, leading to a choppy consolidation.