SOL/USDT – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-01 18:00 UTC 1 hour ago

61.2 % – erste Kerze

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +25% Intraday

▲ Bullish 22 % (6.09) ▼ Bearish 78 % (21.24)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

53.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 77.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 35.0 % average · stopped out 39.8 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 856 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.06
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.05
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.88
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.44
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.40
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.29
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 2H chart shows a bearish pullback, but higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish—so this is a counter-trend sell within an uptrend.
Key levels: resistance at 122.83, support at 116.00. A break below 116.00 would confirm further downside.
The signal combines trendline, indicator, and candlestick triggers, giving it strong confluence on the 2H timeframe.
Expect choppy price action; the 2H trend is bullish but weak (1/5), so the sell signal may see quick reversals.

The 2H SELL signal on SOL/USDT is driven by a cluster of bearish triggers: a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 50, MA, SMA 50) that confirm fading upside momentum. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down adds a cyclical bearish tilt, while the MACD Signal Cross Up and CCI Zero Cross Up appear as counter-trend bounces within the broader pullback. These signals together suggest that the recent advance has lost steam and that sellers are regaining control on the 2H chart.

However, the higher-timeframe picture remains bullish: the 8H, 12H, and 1D trends are all bullish (solid trend on 12H and 1D), and even the 2H itself is bullish but choppy. This creates a conflict—the bearish signal is a short-term correction within a larger uptrend, not a reversal. The nearest resistance at 122.83 caps upside, while support at 116.00 is the first downside target. A break below that support would open the door to deeper losses, but the bullish higher timeframes mean the sell signal is best treated as a tactical short-term trade rather than a long-term trend change.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 50, MA, SMA 50) confirm bearish momentum on the 2H chart.
▼ Trendline Break Down and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down add technical confluence to the sell signal.
▼ The signal fired with strong probability (77%) and strength, indicating a robust short-term setup.
▼ Resistance at 122.83 is nearby, providing a clear invalidation level for shorts.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which could easily absorb the 2H pullback and reverse the signal.
▲ The 2H trend itself is bullish (choppy), so the sell signal is counter-trend and may be short-lived.
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up and CCI Zero Cross Up suggest some buying pressure remains, which could stall the decline.
▲ If price breaks above 122.83, the bearish setup is invalidated and a move toward new highs becomes likely.