EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-02 19:00 UTC 57 minutes ago

35.3 % ↓ −20.4 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 35 % (6.79) ▼ Bearish 65 % (12.45)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 4.6 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.42
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.26
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.84
▲	MACDFIX Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	TSI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.19
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	0.85
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.73

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30M chart align with a solid downtrend across higher timeframes (1H to 1D).
The recent bullish momentum on lower timeframes is weak and likely a correction within the larger bearish trend.
Watch the nearest support at 177.39400; a break below could confirm further downside.
Resistance at 177.91400 is the key invalidation level; a move above would weaken the bearish case.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH OB Exit, and HMA Retreat Down, alongside a cluster of zero-cross up signals (MACDFIX, TSI, HT SINE). While the zero-cross up signals typically indicate upward momentum, their confluence with the retreat and direction signals suggests the recent bounce is losing steam. The overall trend structure is bearish across the 1-hour through daily timeframes, with solid trend scores of 3/5, indicating that the larger downtrend remains intact. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are showing early bullish trends, but these are weak (2/5) and likely represent a corrective phase within the broader bearish move.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 177.91400 and support at 177.39400. A break below support would confirm the resumption of the downtrend, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish scenario. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 30-minute chart, combined with the bearish higher timeframes, suggests that selling pressure may persist, but the weak signal strength and conflicting zero-cross up signals warrant caution. Traders should watch for a decisive move below support to confirm the signal, or a close above resistance to signal a potential trend reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend alignment across 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes, all with solid trend scores.
▼ Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH OB Exit, and HMA Retreat Down.
▼ Price is currently below key resistance, and the nearest support provides a clear downside target.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are showing early bullish trends, which could indicate a counter-trend bounce.
▲ Zero-cross up signals (MACDFIX, TSI, HT SINE) suggest upward momentum that may delay or negate the bearish move.
▲ Weak signal strength (64%) and 'weak' strength rating reduce confidence in the signal.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 177.91400 would invalidate the bearish setup.