USD/CAD – 4H – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-02 00:00 UTC 6 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.25 %

Entry

1.42290

Target

1.42969 +0.48 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.37593 −3.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 284 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 284 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.40 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.33 % 34 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.32 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSX OB Exit, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	2.38
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.29
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.10
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▲	Bullish Meeting Lines	candlestick	1.02
▼	Thrusting	candlestick	0.64

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPVery strong trend

UPExtremely strong trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on 4H with multiple trend-following indicators firing together.
Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bullish, but lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are still bearish/choppy, so expect possible short-term consolidation.
Key support at 1.37593 is the invalidation level; holding above it keeps the bullish bias intact.
The RSX OB Exit suggests momentum may be cooling, so watch for a fresh push or a deeper pullback.

The 4H USD/CAD signal fires a cluster of bullish momentum and trend-following indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, and SMA Retreat Up, alongside a bearish ERI Zero Cross Down and an RSX OB Exit. This confluence suggests buyers are stepping in after a pullback within a well-established uptrend. The trend structure supports the bullish case: the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bullish, with the 8H registering an extremely strong trend (5/5) and the 4H/12H very strong (4/5). However, lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bearish or choppy, indicating the current pullback may not be fully complete. The nearest support at 1.37593 is the key level to watch; as long as price holds above it, the bullish setup remains valid. A break below that support would invalidate the signal and suggest deeper correction.

Catalysts

▲ Strong trend alignment across 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes, with 8H at extremely strong (5/5).
▲ Multiple 'Retreat Up' signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA) indicate price is bouncing off dynamic support levels.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up shows improving buying pressure, supporting the bullish move.
▲ The 4H trend score is very strong (4/5), reinforcing the signal's high probability (92%).

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bearish/choppy, suggesting the pullback may extend before the bullish move resumes.
▼ RSX OB Exit indicates overbought conditions are unwinding, which could lead to a short-term pause or pullback.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.37593 would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger further downside.
▼ The 1H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which may act as a lagging indicator and delay trend confirmation.