ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-03 02:00 UTC 1 hour ago

39.0 % ↓ −22.2 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 21 % (4.48) ▼ Bearish 79 % (17.20)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 13.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.8 % vs 34.7 % average · stopped out 29.8 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 980 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.03
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	TRIMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.01

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal on 30m with trendline break and moving average retreats, but mixed higher timeframe trends.
Key resistance at 2769.68 and support at 2650.88 define the range for potential moves.
Conflicting signals (STOCHF KD cross up, COPPOCK zero cross up) suggest possible short-term bounce.
Watch for a close above resistance to invalidate the bearish setup, or below support to confirm.

The 30-minute SELL signal on ETH/USDT is driven by a confluence of bearish signals, including a trendline break down, multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, TRIMA), and a BOP zero cross down. However, the signal is partially contradicted by a STOCHF KD cross up and COPPOCK zero cross up, which suggest some short-term upward pressure. The overall trend is mixed across timeframes: the 15-minute and 2h to 1d timeframes are bullish, while the 30-minute and 1-hour are bearish, with all trends still forming except the daily which is solid. This mixed alignment suggests the bearish move may be a pullback within a larger bullish structure. Key levels to watch are resistance at 2769.68 and support at 2650.88; a break below support would confirm further downside, while reclaiming resistance could invalidate the bearish signal.

Traders should treat this signal with caution given the conflicting higher timeframe bullish trends. The bearish momentum on the 30m and 1h is supported by the trendline break and moving average retreats, but the stochastic and Coppock crosses up hint at potential short-term bounces. The invalidation level is the nearest resistance at 2769.68; a close above that would negate the bearish setup. Conversely, a sustained move below the support at 2650.88 would strengthen the bearish case. Given the mixed trends, position sizing should account for the possibility of a reversal, and traders should monitor the 1-hour and 4-hour charts for alignment.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, TRIMA) align with the bearish move.
▼ Trendline break down and BOP zero cross down provide technical confluence.
▼ Daily timeframe shows a solid trend (3/5), which may support the larger bearish continuation if the pullback extends.
▼ Strong signal strength (76% probability) adds weight to the bearish case.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m, 2h-1d) are bullish, which could limit downside or trigger a reversal.
▲ STOCHF KD cross up and COPPOCK zero cross up indicate potential short-term buying pressure.
▲ A close above resistance at 2769.68 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Trends are still forming (2/5) on most timeframes, indicating a lack of strong momentum.