ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-03 18:30 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +17% Scalping

▲ Bullish 7 % (2.41) ▼ Bearish 93 % (33.76)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 5.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.4 % vs 34.5 % average · stopped out 48.5 % vs 21.4 % (Crypto, 1,663 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.29
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.05
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.01
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	Momentum Regular Bear Div	divergence	1.52
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.30
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.21
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.92
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bearish signals are firing on the 30-minute chart, but the broader trend is bullish across all timeframes.
Watch the nearest support at 2677.41 and resistance at 2687.50 for direction.
The bearish signal is strong (82% probability) but may be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
A break below support would confirm bearish momentum; holding support favors the bullish trend.

The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, and retreats from the upper Bollinger Band and key EMAs/SMAs. These signals suggest that the recent upward momentum on this timeframe is losing steam and that price is likely to pull back toward the nearest support at 2677.41. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bullish, with the 1-day timeframe showing a solid trend (3/5) and the 8h/12h timeframes forming trends (2/5). This creates a conflict: the short-term bearish signals are firing against a stronger long-term bullish backdrop, which could mean the pullback is a temporary correction rather than a reversal.

The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 2687.50 and support at 2677.41. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door for a deeper correction, while holding support would favor a resumption of the broader uptrend. The signal probability is high (82%) and strength is strong, but traders should be cautious about the conflicting higher-timeframe trend. The signal groups include indicator and divergence, suggesting multiple technical factors are aligning, but the bullish higher timeframes are a significant risk to the bearish thesis.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously on the 30-minute timeframe, including CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, and retreats from upper Bollinger Band and key moving averages.
▼ The signal includes divergence, adding to the bearish case.
▼ High probability (82%) and strong strength suggest the signal is reliable on the short-term timeframe.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend on higher timeframes (1d solid trend, 8h/12h forming trends) could overpower the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The nearest support at 2677.41 is close, and a bounce from there could invalidate the bearish move.
▲ The signal is on a 30-minute timeframe, which is subject to noise and false signals.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 2687.50, the bearish signal would be invalidated.