ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-03 08:00 UTC 1 hour ago

61.2 % ↑ +25.3 zur Vorkerze

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 22 % (5.66) ▼ Bearish 78 % (20.11)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 78.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 18.2 % vs 34.5 % average · stopped out 29.6 % vs 21.4 % (Crypto, 1,013 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.05
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.04
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.04
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.81
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.71

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests short-term downside momentum.
The trend is bearish on lower timeframes but bullish on higher timeframes, indicating a likely pullback within an uptrend.
Watch the support at 2650.88000; a break below could accelerate the decline, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
Resistance at 2684.61000 is the first hurdle for any recovery attempt.

The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a wave of momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) all crossing below their zero or midline levels. This is reinforced by a CCI exit from overbought territory, indicating that the recent upside push has lost steam. The confluence of these signals points to a short-term shift in momentum, with the price likely to test the nearest support at 2650.88000 after breaking below the trendline.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes are bearish, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, and daily) remain bullish, with the daily showing a solid trend. This suggests that the current sell signal is a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a major reversal. The key levels to watch are the support at 2650.88000 and the resistance at 2684.61000. A break below support could extend the correction, while a hold would likely see the bullish higher timeframes reassert control.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) crossing down simultaneously, creating strong confluence.
▼ Trendline Break Down adds a technical pattern confirmation to the bearish momentum shift.
▼ CCI overbought exit suggests the prior rally was overextended and is now unwinding.
▼ The 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes both align bearish, supporting the short-term downside.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a quick reversal.
▲ The nearest support at 2650.88000 is nearby; a failure to break below it could trigger a bounce.
▲ The 15-minute and 2-hour timeframes are bullish, adding conflicting signals and potential choppiness.
▲ If the price reclaims the broken trendline and moves above 2684.61000, the bearish signal would be invalidated.