SHI/BUSDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-03 20:30 UTC 1 hour ago

63.8 % ↑ +14.2 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 14 % (3.09) ▼ Bearish 86 % (18.57)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 85.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 22.6 % vs 34.5 % average · stopped out 23.9 % vs 21.4 % (Crypto, 1,366 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	2.82
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.36
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.30
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.14
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.44
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.44
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.25
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.07
▼	Bearish Separating Lines	candlestick	0.71
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.63

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals align on the 30m chart, but the broader trend is mixed across timeframes.
The 200 EMA/SMA retreats and overbought exits suggest short-term downside pressure.
Key level to watch: support at 0.00001; a break below could confirm the sell signal.
Higher timeframe bullish trends (12h, 1d) may limit the downside, so treat this as a short-term trade.

The SELL signal on SHI/BUSDT at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a confluence of bearish signals, including a trendline break down, oscillator exits from overbought conditions (CCI, ULTOSC, WILLR), and a stochastic cross down. These are reinforced by retreats from the 200-period EMA and SMA, suggesting a short-term shift in momentum. However, the overall trend structure is mixed: while the 15m, 30m, 12h, and 1d timeframes show bullish trend forming, the 2h, 4h, and 8h timeframes are bearish and choppy. This divergence indicates that the sell signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger bullish context, or the start of a deeper correction if the bearish higher timeframes gain traction. The nearest support and resistance are both at 0.00001, a tight range that could lead to a quick resolution. Traders should watch for a break below support to confirm the bearish move, or a reclaim of resistance to invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals: trendline break, stochastic cross, and multiple oscillator exits from overbought levels.
▼ Retreat from both 200-period EMA and SMA adds weight to the bearish case.
▼ Bearish trends on 2h, 4h, and 8h timeframes align with the sell signal direction.
▼ Weak trend strength on lower timeframes suggests momentum may be fading, favoring a pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends (12h, 1d) are bullish, which could override the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The 30m trend is still bullish, so the sell signal may be counter-trend and prone to reversal.
▲ Support and resistance are at the same level (0.00001), creating a tight range that could lead to false breakouts.
▲ If price reclaims the broken trendline or holds above the 200 EMA, the bearish signal would be invalidated.