SOL/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 26 % (4.55) ▼ Bearish 74 % (13.25)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 1.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.4 % vs 34.7 % average · stopped out 48.8 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 1,573 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	2.19
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.94
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	0.93

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum indicators on the 30m chart have flipped bearish, suggesting a short-term pullback is likely.
The higher timeframes (12h, 1d) remain bullish, so this is likely a correction within an uptrend, not a reversal.
Watch the support at 117.11000; a break below could accelerate selling, while a hold may see buyers step back in.
Resistance at 123.37000 is the immediate upside hurdle; a reclaim of that level would invalidate the bearish signal.

On the 30-minute chart, SOL/USDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, EMA 50 Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down, and RSX OB Exit, among others. This confluence indicates a sharp loss of upward momentum and a shift toward selling pressure in the short term. The immediate trend across the 15m to 2h timeframes is still labeled bullish but choppy/sideways, with a low trend score of 1/5, suggesting that the higher-timeframe bullish bias is weak and not providing strong support. The 4h and 8h are also bullish but only trend-forming (2/5), while the 12h and 1d show a more solid bullish trend (3/5). The bearish signals on the 30m are therefore fighting against a longer-term bullish backdrop, which could lead to a pullback rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 123.37000 and support at 117.11000. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the door for a deeper correction, while a hold above support could see the higher-timeframe bullish trend reassert itself. The moderate strength of the signal (probability 74%) suggests a decent edge but not an overwhelming one, so traders should manage risk accordingly. The alignment of multiple oscillators exiting overbought conditions and crossing below their midlines adds weight to the bearish case in the short term, but the conflicting higher-timeframe trend is a significant caveat.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of overbought exits and midline crosses across RSI, CMO, STOCHF, WILLR, and RSX.
▼ EMA 50 retreat down and ER level cross down confirm that even trend-following indicators are turning bearish.
▼ The 30m signal is firing against a backdrop of weak bullish momentum (trend score 1/5) on lower timeframes, reducing the chance of a quick bounce.
▼ Probability of 74% adds confidence to the bearish setup.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are in a solid bullish trend, which could quickly absorb the selling pressure and push price back up.
▲ The signal is only moderate strength; a failure to break below 117.11000 support would likely invalidate the bearish move.
▲ If price reclaims the 123.37000 resistance, the bearish signals would be negated and the uptrend could resume.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 15m-2h timeframes may lead to false signals and whipsaws.