USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-02 23:00 UTC 58 minutes ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 27 % (5.63) ▼ Bearish 73 % (15.37)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 73.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.9 % vs 19.7 % average · stopped out 16.2 % vs 12.1 % (Forex, 222 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.60
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.24
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.22
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.09
▼	STC Level Cross Down	indicator	0.97

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPVery strong trend

UPExtremely strong trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term momentum is bearish on the 30M, with multiple oscillators crossing below zero.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are strongly bullish, creating a trend conflict.
Key support at 1.42024 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 1.42628 is the invalidation zone.
Choppy lower timeframes suggest limited follow-through; expect possible reversal near support.

The 30-minute USD/CAD signal is firmly bearish, backed by a cluster of momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing below their zero lines, while the T3 retreat and CTI OB Exit confirm downside pressure. A candlestick pattern adds confluence, and the ER Level Cross Down suggests a shift in market regime. However, this short-term bearish signal is firing against a strongly bullish backdrop on higher timeframes: the 4H, 8H, and 12H trends are very strong to extremely strong (scores 4-5), with the daily also bullish. This creates a classic conflict between the immediate momentum and the larger trend.

Traders should focus on the nearest support at 1.42024, which is the immediate downside target and a potential pivot. A break below that level could open the door to further declines, but resistance at 1.42628 is the level to watch for invalidation if price reverses upward. Given the higher timeframe bullishness, this sell signal may be counter-trend and could see limited follow-through. The choppy, sideways nature of the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h all score 1/5) suggests weak directional conviction, so any move down may be shallow and prone to reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all turning down.
▼ T3 Retreat Down and CTI OB Exit signal fading upside momentum.
▼ ER Level Cross Down confirms a regime shift to bearish on the 30M.
▼ Candlestick pattern adds extra confirmation to the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Strong bullish trends on 4H, 8H, and 12H could override the short-term bearish signal.
▲ Lower timeframes are choppy and sideways, indicating weak momentum and potential for false signals.
▲ A break above resistance at 1.42628 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum may fade quickly if price fails to break below support at 1.42024.