ADA/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-04 10:00 UTC 53 minutes ago

62.9 % – erste Kerze

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +7% Intraday

▲ Bullish 17 % (2.52) ▼ Bearish 83 % (12.09)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 82.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.9 % vs 33.8 % average · stopped out 23.4 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 1,428 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.40
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.18
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.52

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 1H sell signal with multiple bearish indicators, but higher timeframes are mixed.
Immediate downside bias: watch for a break below 0.23690 support.
Resistance at 0.24690 caps upside; a reclaim would negate the bearish setup.
The pullback may be temporary given the 1D bullish trend.

The 1H SELL signal for ADA/USDT is driven by a cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA 50 and SMA 50 retreats, and a bearish HMA direction, all pointing to immediate downside momentum. The presence of a Spinning Top bearish candlestick adds a short-term reversal cue. However, the broader trend is mixed: while the 1H and 30M timeframes are still labeled bullish (albeit weak/choppy), the 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes are bearish, and the 12H and 1D are bullish. This creates a conflicting picture, meaning the sell signal is best viewed as a short-term pullback within a larger bullish structure.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 0.23690 and resistance at 0.24690. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door for further downside, aligning with the mid-term bearish trend. Conversely, a bounce off support would invalidate the signal and favor the higher-timeframe bullish bias. The signal's strength (82% probability) is supported by the confluence of multiple indicators, but the mixed higher-timeframe trends warrant caution.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish indicators (BOP, EMA/SMA retreats, HMA direction) strengthens the signal.
▼ Bearish trend on 2H-8H timeframes aligns with the 1H sell signal.
▼ Spinning Top bearish candlestick adds a short-term reversal signal.
▼ Strong signal probability (82%) and strength (strong) suggest high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bullish, which could limit downside and trigger a reversal.
▲ The 1H and 30M timeframes are still bullish, indicating conflicting momentum.
▲ A break above 0.24690 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The choppy/sideways nature of several timeframes may lead to whipsaws.